October 10, 2014

    Unsettled on Monday, high of +18, nice day for October 6 Th.

    Sunrise October 7, 2014.

    Became cloudier later in the day on Tuesday.

    Sunrise Wednesday morning.

    Stratus layer October 8, 2014; dissipated by 11:00 Hrs.

    Female Golden Eye on Harmony Lake Wednesday.

    Harmony Lake Wednesday morning.

    Cloudier by Thursday afternoon.

    Sunset Thursday evening at 18:30 Hrs, official sunset was 18:34.



Weather observations for October 10, 2014; taken at 06:00 Hrs.

2240 meters        +4, Winds were 20-30 KPH from the SSW
1835 meters        +8, Winds were 15-25 KPH from the S
1550 meters        +9, Relative Humidity was 60 %
  660 meters        +5, Valley Temperature, Max Temp Yest was +18.1


For the forecast, a weak front will move onshore in a westerly flow with increasing cloudiness and light rain later today. We will be at the bottom end of a cold front so temperatures will dip.  Saturday is also looking wet with light rain showers and the chance of some breaks. A similar day can be expected on Sunday with light rain showers and unsettled conditions. As of now Monday is looking wetter than Sunday. A fast moving front will arrive for Monday bringing heavy rain to the area into Tuesday. As of now next week looks cool and moist, more on next week in Mondays post. Temperatures should become more seasonable and bring negative values in the upper elevations by Saturday. A recirculating typhoon off Japan will be pushing moisture our way by Monday, the jet stream is also setting up to bring a wet system our way Monday\Tuesday. Models are in disagreement at this time, so it is difficult to say exactly how the jet stream will track.

    Moisture in our area later today.

    Moderate rain can be expected  Monday/Tuesday. Finally some snow in the alpine.

    Big low to the North.

    Jet stream will pass over us on Sunday and may shift slightly North. Models are uncertain!!


Video Friday's:

Avalanche Rescue Dogs: France

Insane run at Red Bull Rampage: Jeff Herbertson

Natural Slab Avalanche this summer in New Zealand: Mt Ruapehu

Summer skiing on vocalic dust: Mt Etna



Articles:

Weatherblogs.com: El Nino Update?

The science behind avalanche control in mountain parks: Calgary Herald

Enter at your own risk: Outside Magazine

Why Crystal mountain needs Gazex: Kim Kircher Blog

First Colorado Avalanche Centre Forecast for the Season: 2014-2015

Hi all,

Passing this on from Dr. Bruce Jamieson?

Asarc (Applied Snow & Avalanche Research University of Calgary) is conducting a very short survey on the reporting rate of people caught in Size 2 or larger avalanches. The survey is voluntary and anonymous. The results of this survey will improve our knowledge of survival rates. If you have been caught in a Size 2 or larger avalanche, you are invited to complete the survey at http://goo.gl/VuTDWQ    Save the Word form to a folder on your computer such as the desktop, then complete the form, save your changes, and email it tobruce.jamieson@ucalgary.ca

This survey will remain open until 30 October 2014.

Feel free to pass this on to other practitioners - distribute widely! 

    It will be difficult travelling on the glaciers once it begins to snow.

    Awesome colours Tuesday Morning.

    Seracs on Ipsoot Glacier.

    Mount Garibaldi Wednesday afternoon.

   Golden Eye on Blackcomb Lake Thursday October 9, 2014.