November 11, 2016

AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

    Image from November 10 Th, evidence of old wet avalanche activity from the warm temperatures.


WEATHER IN THE PAST FEW DAYS:

    Monday afternoon, November 7, 2016-- luckily we only received 5.2 mm at 660 meters.

    Pineapple Express.

    Tuesday November 8, 2016  +5 at 1860 meters at 07:00 hrs, winds were 40-75 KPH.

    Luckily we escaped some of the potential rain on Tuesday. Not so lucky for Vancouver Island.

    Unsettled Tuesday morning. 140 KPH max winds at 2240 meters with a high of +3.

    Wednesday--November 9, 2016-- 20.3 mm of rain recorded at 660 meters, +3.5 at 1860 meters.

    River of Golden Dreams on Wednesday.  Most of this was snow!!               Devon Brusse Image

    Thursday November 10, 2016. +4 at 1835 meters, luckily it was not raining.

    Satellite image Thursday morning.

   Thursday afternoon.

    Satellite image from the same time frame as the above picture. Front sliding down the coast..

   Clouds over the lower mainland Thursday morning.



Weather Observations for November 11, 2016: taken at 07:00 Hours.

2240 meters     0, Winds were 45-65 KPH SE --Horstman Hut
1860 meters   +4, Winds were 15-35 KPH S   --Rendevous
1650 meters   +5, RH 87%  1.3 mm of precip  --Pig Alley  Precip over night

  660 meters   +7, Valley Temp, Max Temp Yesterday was +10, 0.7 mm of Precip recorded yest

   As of 07:00 Hrs this am we have overcast skies and unlimited visibility. Fog in the valley.

FOR THE FORECAST:

More wet warm and windy fall frontal bands in a Southerly flow aloft, with at least two to three more days of warm temperatures. Showers this am with light rain by this afternoon, becoming moderate to heavy this evening. This front will continue pushing through Saturday and likely exit the area by Saturday night with a cooling trend as it dries out. Looks very wet Friday night into Saturday morning.  A cooler weaker frontal band is forecasted for Sunday with the FL dropping down to the 1800 M range. Early next week it appears that the flow will become more westerly and cooler, with the FL hopefully dropping to 1000 meters by Tuesday. We may finally see some snow fall to the valley. More on that in Monday's post.

    Warm and wet as the front slides down the coast.

    Showers this morning with an increase in the precip as the day progresses.

    More rain Saturday with some possible drying out by Saturday night.

    Early Sunday a weaker front moves onshore.

    Sunday into early Monday morning.

    Breaks Monday morning with another weak front in a Westerly flow.

     Cooler by Monday and a more Westerly Flow.





VIDEO FRIDAY:

Snowmobile Education: AIARE

Snowmobiling up a steep creek bed: Boondockers



ARTICLES:

La Nina Update: NOAA

Changes to WB Backcontry Avalanche Forecast coming this winter: Snow Industry News

Mountain Skills--The importance of Higher ED: Backcountry Magazine

Journeyman Lodge-Callaghan Valley: Our Back Yard

The Women of Squaw Valley Ski patrol made a calender: Teton Gravity Research

WSAR sees early season rescues: The Question

Remote avalanche control system coming online between Revelstoke and Sicamous: Eagle Valley News





OBSERVATIONS:

From Tobias Lonfat on Blackcomb Mountain: Nov 8/2016  Isothermal snow pack at 2280m. Raining with high winds 100-140km/h.  Lots of natural activity. Size 1.5 wet jersey bowl/couloir extreme area.

Double Rainbow on Tuesday afternoon between the 7.2 mm of rain at 660 meters

    Tuesday was a very warm day. +12.4 at 660 meters. Normal Avg high is +4.0, Avg low -2.0.

    Wednesday morning. Looking good but it did rain 20.3 mm at 660 meters mostly early am.

    Wednesday afternoon.

    Thursday morning, all things considered it still looks like good coverage above 1700 meters.

    Tantalus Range Thursday morning.

    This is an image from last year at this time, snow making was going off!! Colder next week :)