13 Oct 2017

October 13, 2017


    AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

    First avalanche fatality in North America for the 2017-18 season, articles below.    GNFAC Pic


    PAST WEEK:

    Saturday October 7, 2017

    Dusting on the peaks Saturday morning.

    Sunday October 8, 2017. -1 at 07:00 Hrs.

    Monday morning October 9, 2017--- 0 Deg at 1835 meters.

    Tuesday October 10, 2017.

    Wednesday morning October 11, 2017.

    Thursday morning October 12, 2017. Sunrise was at 07:29 Hrs.

    Unsettled Thursday, there were some breaks. 0.2 mm recorded at 660 meters.


Weather Observations for October 13, 2017 taken at 06:00 Hours.

2240 meters    -7, Winds were 20-35 KPH WNW--Horstman Hut
1860 meters    -5, Winds were 10-20 KPH WNW--Rendevous
1550 meters    -3, RH 95%--Catskinner 
  660 meters     0, Valley Temp, Max Temp Yesterday was +6.2, 0.2 mm of Precip recorded yest

   As of 07:00 Hrs this am we have overcast skies, limited visibility and its is snowing lightly.

   Snow at 670 meters in Whistler this am.

    By 09:00 Hrs it was unsettled and beginning to reveal a winter like scene.


FORECAST:

A cool upper level trough is moving through the area this am in a Northwest flow aloft. Wet snow is falling in the valley this am. A weak offshore ridge will bring mostly sunny skies by this afternoon, but will be short lived as a strong Westerly flow will bring cloudy skies to the area on Saturday, followed by moist warmer weather Sunday into Monday. The freezing level will rise to above the local peaks before descending on Tuesday as there is a lull prior to some cool Pacific storms rolling through Wednesday into Friday. The FL for this series of frontal waves will slowly drop and we should see some significant snowfall accumulation below mid station. Perhaps we will be getting a taste of an early winter!!


    High is expected to push onshore by this afternoon.

    Moist this am with some breaks on the way.

    Break for today followed by clouds Saturday.

    High weakens and the low will send cloud our way for Saturday.


   Westerly flow for Sunday.

    Westerly flow for Monday with some rain showers, possibly rain for Monday night.

    GFS showing a moist Tuesday, but the ECMWF is calling for a lull before the storm.

    Strong frontal wave for Wednesday.


Monday October 16, 2017 Weather update:

Frontal band pushing through today with moderate to strong precip and a relatively high freezing level. (max 2700 M). Colder on Tuesday with a lull in the bands of moisture heading our way. A strong Jet Streak will bring an Atmospheric River through Tuesday night into Wednesday with significant precipitation. The FL will vary from 1800 (Wednesday) to 1500 meters by Friday as a cold front pushes through on Thursday with moderate precip.  Friday looks to have cool and showery weather. Another jet streak is expected for Saturday, more on that in Friday's post.



    As of 07:00 Monday Oct 16, we have overcast skies, raining lightly, +3 Deg and 20-50 KPH S.

     Weak cold front with a strong Southwest flow aloft for today..


    Active front pushing through today.

    A possible lull on Tuesday evening.

    Fairly deep low with an atmospheric river lining up for the Wet Coast on Wednesday..


    OBSERVATIONS & INFORMATION:

    Saturday in the valley the max temperature was +9.8 Deg.

    Sunday the high in the valley was +14.5 Deg.

    Lake Simcoe on Sunday evening. Summer like weather in Ontario!!

    Monday morning

    Moist on Tuesday, 0.6 mm of precipitation recorded in the valley at Nester's weather station.


    Wednesday morning, -4 at 1860 meters as of 06:00 Hrs. Snow gun preparations.

    Unsettled Wednesday, 0.4 mm recorded at 660 meters.

 Snowline on Thursday.


VIDEO FRIDAY:

Huge Rockfall: El Capitan, Yosemite

Another Rockslide: Switzerland

Checklists & Backcountry Decision Making: Sarah Carpenter


ARTICLES:

First avalanche fatality of the year in NA, Female backcountry skier: Montana

More information on the avalanche incident in Montana: Mountain Journey

Avalanche Canada presentations at sled shows focusing on close calls: Lessons Learned

Research findings could make it easier to forecast avalanches: SFU

Avalanches reported in the Bucegi Mountains: Romania

Tips on Avalanche Safety: Backcountry Skiing Blog

Four Million $ in New Snow Safety Tools & Technology: Squaw Valley & Alpine Meadows

Still wavering on a La Nina winter, latest ENSO report: NOAA

No comments:

Post a Comment