June 19, 2023

      AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

      An avalanche has killed a backcountry skier on Hurd Peak, California. Article below. IC Sar Pic

      From Tongariro, New Zealand. Moist slough. June 14, 2023.

      WEATHER PAST WEEK:

      Monday June 12, 2023. 13:00 Hrs. +18 Deg C with a 5-10 KPH SW Breeze at 1835 m.

      13:00 Hrs Monday. +30 Deg C in the valley.

      Tuesday June 13, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +8 Deg C with a 15-30 KPH SE wind at 1835 m.

     12:00 Hrs Tuesday. +14 Deg C in the valley, rain imminent.

     Wednesday June 14, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +4 Deg C with a 10-20 KPH West wind at 1835 m.

      12:00 Hrs Wednesday. +15 Deg C in the valley.

      Thursday June 15, 2023. +6 Deg C with a 15-20 KPH West wind at 1835 m.

      12:00 Hrs Thursday. +18 Deg C. 

      Friday June 16, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +6 Deg C with a 20-50 KPH SW wind at 1835 m.

      12:00 Hrs Friday. +14 Deg C.

      Saturday June 17, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. 

     12:00 Hrs Saturday, +13 Deg C.

      Sunday June 18, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. 0 Deg C with a 15-20 KPH West wind at 1835 m.

      12:00 Hrs. Sunday. +12 Deg C.

Weather Observations for June 19, 2023 taken at 06:00 Hours.

2280 meters     -3, Winds were 5-10 KPH SE--Horstman Hut

1860 meters      0, Winds were 5-10 KPH S--Rendezvous  

1650 meters    +1, 0.6 mm in 12 Hrs, 1.3 mm in 24 Hrs.--Pig Alley

1570 meters    +1, 0.1 mm in 12 Hrs, 0.4 mm in 24 Hrs.--Catskinner

  660 meters    +7, Valley Temp, Max temp Yesterday was +14.4, 0.0 mm of precip yesterday.

       As of 07:00 Hrs there was overcast skies and variable visibility.

FORECAST:

Cool upper level low moves SE today with periods of light precipitation in a Easterly-NorthEasterly flow aloft. The FL is hovering around 1800 m this am. The low will hang around in Southern B.C. bringing wet cool wether into Tuesday. Breaks and showers?, for Tuesday. Models are not in agreement for most of the week so a mixed bag of weather with warmer temperatures by the end of the week. Hopefully warmer and drier by next week! Models lately have been calling for more precipitation than we have been getting. Hopefully the high will prevail later in the week with some warm sunny weather. Time will tell. Guesstimates: 4-8 mm by Tuesday am, trace-2 mm by Wednesday, 2-4 mm by Thursday am, trace-2 mm by Friday, 0-trace mm by Saturday am, 0-1 mm by Sunday am. 

      GOES IR IMAGE from this am.

      WINDY IMAGE 2023/06/19. 05:00 Hrs.

         Low moving off to the SouthEast Monday. Below average temperatures with precipitation.

      Periods of light precipitation on Monday.

      Easterly-NorthEasterly flow aloft.

       Tuesday will bring an unsettled day, mostly overcast. Showers and sunny periods in the pm.

      Low still an influencer on Tuesday, ridging to the North. Some showers.

               Unsettled weather for Wednesday, still showers in the forecast. Warmer.

     Some showers possible on Wednesday. Very unsettled pattern.

         Thursday still looks unsettled, warmer but a mixed bag of weather.

      Thursday is looking better with a high building, still a chance it may be unsettled. Showers?

      Depending if this image remains true, could be nicer by Friday. Chance it may be unsettled.

      High to the East, Low to the South. Many days away. Always a chance of some showers.

      May be unsettled on Saturday.

      More unsettled weather Sunday.

      INFORMATION AND OBSERVATIONS:

     Monday 14:00 Hrs. +14 Deg C with a 5-10 KPH NNE Breeze at 2280 m.

      Awesome clouds Tuesday 06:00 Hrs. +9 Deg C with a 30-40 KPH South wind at 2280 m.

      Precipitation on Tuesday began around noon!

      Wednesday evening sundown, Georgian Bay.

      Thursday 07:30 Hrs. +5 Deg C.

       Cool Westerly Zonal Flow arriving for the weekend.

      Started raining lightly at around 06:00 Hrs Friday. Dried out, not much precipitation.

      Rain Showers around noon Saturday.

      Still smoke in the sky West of Georgian Bay. Saturday evening.

       Fresh snow in the alpine Sunday am. FL dropped to 1600 m.

SHORT CLIPS:

Large Rock Slide: Austria

Insane Trick: BMX

Look Ma, No Hands: Ouch

Serious amount of: Scotch Ice

ARTICLES:

Inyo SAR responded to an avalanche fatality June 14, 2023 on Hurd Peak: California

How is Great Salt Lake dust melting Utah snowpack: Desert News

Researchers find what causes avalanches in Umiujaq: Northern Quebec

Critically buried avalanche victims can develop severe hypothermia in less than 60 minutes: Scandinavia

International Snow Science Workshop Oct. 8-13, 2023: Bend, Oregon

Second avalanche within a week near Kedarnath: Northern India

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May 14, 2023

     AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

      No new avalanches observed on Blackcomb Saturday.

      Glide cracks on smooth rock faces.

     Blackcomb Glacier Creek is flowing. Old avalanche debris from the end of April-May.

    WEATHER YESTERDAY:

      Sunrise Saturday was ay 05:28 Hrs. +7 Deg C with a 5-15 KPH ESE wind at 1860 m.

      08:00 Hrs. +8 Deg c with a 5-10 KPH ESE breeze at 1860 m.

      10:00 Hrs. + 13 Deg C with a 0-5 KPH ESE wind at 1860 m.

      Saturday May 13, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +10 De4g C with a 10-15 KPH East wind at 2280 m.

      14:00 Hrs. +13 deg C with a 5-15 KPH East wind at 2280 m.

     16:00 Hrs. +12 Deg C with a 10-15 KPH NE wind at 2280 m.

Weather Observations for May 14, 2023 taken at 06:00 Hours.

2280 meters     +9, Winds were 15-35 KPH E--Horstman Hut

1860 meters   +12, Winds were   5-10 KPH W--Rendezvous  

1650 meters     +9, 0 mm in 12 Hrs, 0 mm in 24 Hrs. Base 182 cm--Pig Alley

1570 meters   +11, 0 mm in 12 Hrs, 0 mm in 24 Hrs. Base   90 cm--Catskinner

  660 meters     +7, Valley Temp, Max temp Yesterday was +29.2, 0.0 mm of precip yesterday.

High yesterday at 2280 m was +13.5 Deg C at 15:15 Hrs.

 Will be a 08:45 upload agin today.

   

     As of 06:00 Hrs this am we have 0 mm of new precipitation. base 182 cm at 1650 m.
 

       As of 07:00 Hrs we have clear skies and unlimited visibility.

FORECAST:

Ridge strengthens Sunday with warm temperatures in a Southeasterly-Easterly flow aloft. The FL is hovering around 4500 meters and may get up to 4800 meters today with daytime heating. Sunny skies and well above average temperatures for today. Similar situation for Monday into Tuesday. May see some cloud arrive Tuesday night as the low to our South pushes in off the coast. Some models are calling for clear sunny weather on Wednesday, going with the European model with a mix of sun and cloud with some showers. Could see some thunder and lightning to our Southeast. Hopefully no strikes in this area. Thursday will be a similar weather day. Unsettled with convective clouds and showers. Dirty ridging on Friday will bring a mix of sun and cloud, with above average temperatures. Ditto into Monday. Guesstimates: 0 mm by Monday am, 0 mm by Tuesday am, 0 mm by Wednesday am, 1-3 mm by Thursday am, 2-5 mm by Friday am, 0 mm by Saturday am.

      GOES IR IMAGE from this am.

      WINDY IMAGE 2023/05/14. 05:00 Hrs.

         Strengthening ridge will bring sunny skies and warm temperatures Sunday.

      No precipitation expected on Sunday.

      Southeasterly to Easterly flow aloft.

        Ridge for Monday with sunny skies and warm temperatures.

      No precipitation for Monday.

       Ridge still dominant force on Tuesday. Sunny and warm.

      Low will send some cloud into the area Tuesday night.

       Ridge flattens Wednesday, sunny skies in the am, showers in the pm with overcast skies. Warm.

      Some precipitation expected on Wednesday pm.

      Still warm on Wednesday, some cloud from the low will make it to our zone.

      Unsettled Thursday with a mix of sun and cloud. Showers in the mix.

      Dirty ridging for Friday with a mix of sun and cloud.

      INFORMATION AND OBSERVATIONS:

      Early am cloud just after sunrise.

       Mid mountain snow pack is melting quickly. Running water in all drainages.

      Bergschrunds and crevasses already exposed.

      Soft snow skiing, crust to moist fairly quick Saturday.

      Moist snow in the am.

      Spring Skiing on Lower Cloud 9.

      Saw two ladies heading out on the Spearhead Traverse Saturday.

      Hangtime.

      Blue bird day.

       Lets go to the Lake!!

      No snow on a lot of terrain that was skiable a week ago.

FROM AVALANCHE CANADA:

Backcountry Avalanche Advisory – Sea to Sky

Avalanche Canada advisories are done for the season. Advisories are typically available in fall, winter and spring (October – April). Please check back in Fall 2023 for Whistler and the Sea to Sky region advisories. If you're heading into the mountains this spring, learn more about assessing spring conditions.

LOCAL MIN REPORTS:

No new MIN Reports as of 07:00 Hrs.

SHORT CLIPS:

Sand boarding: Chile 

Skiing: Iceland

Tornado: Montana Mountains

Half Pipe Transfer Flip: Ejected

ARTICLES:

Daily Melt Freeze Cycle: Avalanche Canada

Corn Snow: Avalanche.org

Study of the melt-freeze cycle using multi-sensor data: Journal of Glaciology

World Cup Alpine Ski Season may be pushed back due to climate change: Planet Ski

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Goggle contest returning again this year, win a pair of Marker goggles for the best avalanche image for the months of  April-May.  Grand prize best image of the  season will be a Pair of Prior Skis or a Split Board awarded at the end of May.