Wayne Flann Avalanche Blog

6 Jun 2022

June 6, 2022

PAST WEEK:

Monday May 30, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. +5 Deg C with a 5-15 KPH N wind.

Tuesday May 31, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. + 6 Deg C with a 5-10 KPH ESE breeze.

Wednesday June 1, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. +9 Deg C with a 5-10 KPH ENE breeze.

Thursday June 2, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. +7 Deg C with a 5-15 KPH E breeze.

Friday June 3, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. + 4 Deg C with a 15-25 KPH ESE wind.

Saturday June 4, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. +5 Deg C with a 10-25 KPH ESE wind.

Sunday June 5, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. +3 Deg C with a 15-30 KPH SE wind.

Weather Observations for June 6, 2022 taken at 06:00 Hours.

2180 meters -2, Winds were 20-30 KPH S--Whistler Peak

1835 meters 0, Winds were 5-10 KPH SE--Round House

1650 meters +1, 2.2 mm in 12 Hrs, 14.6? mm in 24 Hrs --Pig Alley

660 meters +8, Valley Temp, Max temp Yesterday was +13.9, 9.3 mm of precip yesterday.

As of 07:00 Hrs this am we have overcast skies and variable visibility.

Precipitation amounts recorded at 660 m (Nester's Weather Station) for May over the past 5 years.

May 2022. 71.9 mm

May 2021. 38.9 mm

May 2020 52.8 mm

May 2019. 18.9 mm

May 2018. 15.8 mm

FORECAST:

The persistent Aleutian low will continue to bring cool unsettled conditions for today in a Westerly flow aloft. Drier today with a chance of some isolated showers but mostly cloudy weather with some sunny breaks. Freezing level likely to rise to 2400 m. Short lived ridge builds in for Tuesday with a mix of sun and cloud, at least it is going to be warmer. Trough pushes in Tuesday evening. The low will continue to send a series of troughs onto the coast Tuesday night into next weekend. Unsettled Wednesday and Thursday with some possible sunny breaks between the carousel of troughs. As of now the models are agreeing on a good old soaking Thursday night/ Friday (AR Event), time will tell. More unsettled weather for Saturday and Sunday. Juneuary weather will persist into the near future in a nasty cool La Nina pattern. Guesstimates: 0-1 mm by Tuesday am, 2-4 mm by Wednesday am, 2-6 mm by Thursday am, 12-18 mm by Friday am, 15-22 mm by Saturday am, 5-15 mm by Sunday am, 2-6 mm by Monday am.

GOES IR image from this am.

GOES 17 ABI Image 2022/06/06. 05:00 Hrs.

Upper level low in control but a dry day ahead. Possible shower.

Relatively dry day, possible showers around noon.

Westerly flow aloft for Monday.

Ridging from the SE on Tuesday. Warmer! Looks sunny for most of the day.

High will usher in a dry sunny day on Tuesday.

Upper low for Wednesday with unsettled weather.

Light rain in the am, overcast with sunny breaks during the day, showers in the mix as well.

Looks dry Thursday morning with overcast skies. Rain on the way in the pm.

Looks wet Friday.

Looks wet Saturday, long time from now but same pattern. Might dry out later in the day.

Low still in control on Sunday.

AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

Sa Sz 1.5 Grizzly Peak, CO. Article and video below. June 1, 2022. CAIC Pic

Path 51, Duffy Lake. Avalanche control buried the road. Video of cleanup below. KN Pic

Recent avalanche activity in the Tantalus Range May 31, 2022.

Recent avalanche activity on Whistler May 31, 2022.

INFORMATION & OBSERVATIONS:

Monday May 30th. Before sunset.

Reshaping the Horstman Glacier.

Pushing tons of snow around!!

Sunrise June 1, 2022. 05:07 Hrs. First day of meteorological summer.

Cooler temperatures for the next while. Cool moist pattern continues into June

Looks like periods of moisture from Friday into the next week.

Saturday evening. Upper low continues to send cool moist weather our way!!

June 5, 2022. 13:30 Hrs. +4 Deg C at 1835 m, +2 Deg C at 2180 m.

VIDEOS:

Avalanche on Path 51, controlled, Duffy Lake Road: June 1, 2022

Close call at Loveland Pass, CO: June 1, 2022

Easily triggered slab: HeliBoarding

Cornice Control: Snowbird

ARTICLES:

Skier Accidental (Sa) Size 1.5 June 1, 2022. Grizzly Peak, CO. CAIC Report

Recovery efforts completed on Dreamweaver Couloir Incident: Colorado

Humla roads damaged by avalanches need maintenance: Nepal

An 'Inspiring' new region for backcountry avalanche forecasting: New Zealand

The consequences of climate change in the Alps are visible from space: Science Daily

30 May 2022

May 30, 2022

PAST WEEK:

Monday May 23, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. + 4 Deg C with a 15-25 KPH West wind.

Tuesday May 24, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. +4 Deg C with a 10-15 SSW breeze.

Wednesday May 25, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. + 3 Deg C with a 15-30 KPH S wind.

Thursday May 26, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. + 6 Deg C with a 10-20 KPH South wind.

Friday May 27, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. +1 Deg C with a 30-60 KPH South wind.

Saturday March 28, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. + 1 Deg C with a 0-5 KPH NW Breeze.

Sunday May 29, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. +3 Deg C with a 15-25 KPH SW wind.

Weather Observations for May 30, 2022 taken at 06:00 Hours.

2180 meters -1, Winds were 20-30 KPH N--Whistler Peak

1835 meters 0, Winds were 5-10 KPH E--Round House

1650 meters +1, 5.4 mm in 12 Hrs, 7.6 mm in 24 Hrs --Pig Alley

660 meters +6, Valley Temp, Max temp Yesterday was +12, 4.4 mm of precip yesterday.

As of 07:30 Hrs this am we have broken cloud and variable visibility.

FORECAST:

Unsettled for this am in a Southerly flow aloft. Low to our South will send some clouds into Southern BC this am, periods of rain this afternoon, high to the North will hopefully bring some sunny breaks later today??. The freezing level will rise above the local peaks. Tuesday is looking like a mixed bag, high is supposed to build but seems very unsettled. Periods of light rain for most of the day with a mix of sun and cloud by the evening. Warm!! Wednesday is looking mostly overcast, hopefully wrong, some models are calling for some sun. Should see some sunny breaks. Front arrives for Wednesday night with light rain into Thursday. Periods of light rain for Friday. Pattern continues into the weekend. Wish I had better news. Guesstimates: 1-4 mm by Tuesday am, 2-6 mm by Wednesday am, 0-1 mm by Thursday am, 5-10 mm by Friday am, 2-6 mm by Saturday am, 2-4 mm by Sunday am, 1-3 mm by Monday am. La Nina Springs can be very cool and wet!!!

GOES IR Image from this am.