19 Nov 2018

Noveber 19, 2018


    AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

    An avalanche has killed a man near Kaghan, Pakistan. Article below.                            Net Pic

    Some recent activity on the backside of Mount Currie


    PAST WEEK:

    Tuesday morning November 13, 2018. 07:15 hrs +3.7 Deg C at 1835 m, -3 at 660 m.

    Wednesday November 14, 2018. Sunrise 07:23 hrs, -2.2 Deg C at 1835 m +3 Deg c at 660 m

    Thursday morning November 15, 2018. -2 Deg C.

    Friday morning November 16, 2018. Sunrise 07:27, -4.3 Deg C.

    Saturday morning November 17, 2018. 07:30 Hrs -4.8 Deg C.

    Sunday morning November 18, 2018 07:30 hrs +6 Deg C at at 1835 m, -4 in the valley.


Weather Observations for November 19, 2018  taken at 06:00 Hours.

2240 meters        +3, Winds were 5-10 KPH SE --Horstman Hut
1860 meters        +4, Winds were 5-10 KPH SE --Rendevous
1650 meters        +2, 0 cm of new snow, Base 26 cm   --Pig Alley
  660 meters         -3, Valley Temp, Max Temp Yesterday was +4.4, 0.0 mm of precip recorded yest

    As of 07:00 Hrs this am we have high thin broken cloud and unlimited visibility.


FORECAST:

High pressure aloft will bring sunny skies and inverted temperatures for today in a Southeast flow.
Tuesday will see dry conditions with increased cloud cover later in the day as the upper ridge migrates East. A series of Pacific frontal systems are lined up for Wednesday into the weekend.
By Wednesday the pattern of inversions will cease and the freezing level should begin to drop to 1400 meters by the evening. A cooler pattern is expected for Thursday through Saturday with the FL descending to 1000 meters by Saturday. The European model and GFS have different solutions for the weekend, will begin posting regularly by Thursday so should have an accurate forecast by then.
Guesstimates: 10-15 cm above 1500 meters for Wednesday, 10-15 cm above 1200 meters for Thursday, 5-10 cm for Friday?, Friday may be dry. Check in on Thursday!


    GOES IR image for this am.


    Still warm with the FL up at 3000 meters.

    Another great day for a bike ride.





    Series of lows coming our way.


    Still warm on Tuesday.



    Cold front heading our way.


     Cooling off in a Westerly flow.



    Finally some more snow.


     System on Thursday could bring 10-20 cm.








    INFORMATION & OBSERVATIONS:

    Monday November 12th, awesome morning light. Inverted temperatures, +4 at 2240 m -1 at 660m.

    Monday afternoon, high of +4.6 in the valley.

    Tuesday at around 16:00 frontal band arrived with some precip. Max temp in valley was +9.0 Deg.

    Snowing at 1650 meters Wednesday morning. -0.20 and < as cold front pushes through.

    Snow line got close to the valley floor on Wednesday.


    Thursday afternoon 16:30 hrs +0.5 Deg C. 2.0 mm recorded at 660 meters on Thursday.

    08:00 Hrs on Friday,  -4.3 deg c at 1860 meters.

    Clouds dissipated as the day progressed on Friday.

    Making snow on Friday. Blue bird in the afternoon.

    Saturday morning, cold temps in the am -6, inverted by noon. 0 deg by 12:00 hrs at 1860 M.

    Inversion Sunday morning but upper runs are looking good!!

    Horstman Glacier Sunday, High of +4.8 at 2240 meters.


From South Coast Touring:

Brandywine Mountain Conditions, Nov 16th: Ross Berg 



VIDEOS:

Advance & Retreat of Alpine Glaciers: Switzerland


ARTICLES:

An avalanche has killed a man in Kaghan : Pakistan

Avalanche Canada in desperate need of funding: Essential Service

Highlights from WYSW 2018: American Avalanche Institute

Lucky escapes in avalanches in Scotlands Mountains: SAIS

Police team including SHO narrowly escape an avalanche in Zojila Pass: Northern India

No comments:

Post a Comment