5 Nov 2018

November 5, 2018

    AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

    Two of three climbers die in an avalanche on Mount Hicks, New Zealand. Article below. Net Pic

   An avalanche in the upper Dir Valley, Pakistan has killed 4 people. Article below.     Net Pic

     Avalanche injures skier on Mount Patterson. Article below.       Avalanche Canada MIN Pic


    PAST WEEK:

    Tuesday morning October 30, 2018. -3 at 08:00 hrs.

    Wednesday morning October 31, 2018. +2 Deg C at 08:00 Hrs.

    Thursday Morning November 1, 2018. Sunrise 08:02 Hrs +3 Deg C.

    Friday morning November 2, 2018.  + 1.2 Deg C at 08:00 Hrs. Hi of +6 Thursday.

    Saturday morning November 3, 2018. -0.5 as of 08:00 Hrs.

    Sunday morning November 4, 2018. -2 Deg C at 07:00 Hrs..


Weather Observations for November 5, 2018  taken at 06:00 Hours.

2240 meters        -4, Winds were 35-50 KPH SSE--Horstman Hut
1860 meters        -2, Winds were 10-20 KPH SE   --Rendevous
1650 meters         0, 1.8 mm of precip in 16 hrs     --Pig Alley
  660 meters       +6, Valley Temp, Max Temp Yesterday was +10, 8.2 mm of precip recorded yest

    As of 07:00 Hrs this am we have mostly a cloudy sky with a few breaks and variable visibility.



FORECAST:

A weak surface trough will bring some light intermittent showers today in a Northwesterly flow aloft. We can expect unsettled weather into Tuesday with fairly dry conditions. The freezing level will hover in the 1600 meter range today slowly dropping tonight to around 1400 meters. An upper level ridge will push in on Tuesday night and will likely remain in the area until Friday. Low may push into the area Friday! Northerly flow will bring a drop in the freezing level for Wednesday and the FL could go as low as 1000 metes during night time hours. May see a few spikes in the FL with daytime heating but certainly looking colder than it has been for the remainder of the week. Long range models are not consistent beyond Friday but the trend could be for a dry period into early next week. Some cloud has the potential for coming over the top of the ridge for unsettled weather Friday with a slight chance of some very light intermittent precip. Likely nice on Saturday and unsettled Sunday. Time will tell!!


    GOES IR image from this am.

    Warm high still in the Pacific, Aleutian Low and Arctic Front.





    Drying trend.


 Highs & Lows in the Pacific.


    High and Arctic Front getting closer, Low pushed away.




    High strengthening in our zone. FL could drop to the valley.





    Low pushing South.




    High Low Arctic Front stand off.







    INFORMATION & OBSERVATIONS:


    Monday afternoon, October 29, 2018.

   Tuesday 18:00 Hrs, -2 Deg C at 1860 meters.

   Wednesday morning 1835 meters.


    There were even a few breaks on Wednesday.

    Warm front on Thursday, Freezing level went to 2800+ meters. Hi of +3 at 2240 Meters.

   Moist day Thurs, some breaks. 24.8 mm of rain recorded at 660 meters with a high of +10.7 Deg C.

    Friday at 17:00 Hrs, cooling down again. 12.6 mm recorded at 660 meters on Friday.

   Saturday, rivers were up. 18.3 mm recorded at 660 meters.

    A few nice breaks on Sunday but mostly cloudy.

   Nice to see snow on Sunday.

   Big picture on Sunday.



Avalanche Canada MIN Report: Mount Patterson


VIDEOS:

Are Avalanche Bulletins Working: Henery Finn

Do avalanche airbags lead to riskier choices: Pascal Haegli


ARTICLES:

Four people killed in an avalanche in Chitral area: Pakistan

Two climbers die in an avalanche in New Zealand: Mount Hicks

Skier taken to hospital after being caught in an avalanche: Banff National Park

Skier caught in a small avalanche near Hoosier Pass: Colorado

Hoosier Pass: CAIC Report

Snow avalanche hits Tulail Village in Gurez: Kashmir

Get Avy savvy! Avalanche gear and training 101: Mountain Sledder

Avalanche workshop draws flurry of skiers: Wyoming

High avalanche danger in Southern Switzerland and Northern Italy: WePowder

Five Terrace Heroes recognized for avalanche rescue: Terrace Standard

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