16 Nov 2020

November 16, 2020


      Monday November 9, 2020. 12:00 Hrs. -6 with a 10-25 SW wind. -1 in the valley.

       Satellite image from the same timeframe as above.

      Tuesday November 10, 2020. 12:00 Hrs. -5 with a 0-5 KPH N breeze. 0 Deg C in the valley.

      Satellite image from the same timeframe.

     Wednesday November 11, 2020. 12:00 Hrs. -4 with a 5-15 KPH SW wind. 0 Deg C in the valley.

      Satellite image from the same timeframe.

      Thursday November 12, 2020. 12:00 Hrs. -6 with a 15-30 KPH SE wind. 0 Deg C in the valley.

      Satellite image from same timeframe as above.

      Friday November 13, 2020. 12:00 Hrs. -5 with a 30-55 KPH SSW wind. 0 Deg C in the valley.

      Satellite image from the same timeframe.

      Saturday November 14, 2020. 12:00 Hrs. -7 with a 10-20 KPH SSW wind. +1 in the valley.

      Satellite image from the same timeframe.

      Sunday November 15, 2020.  12:00 Hrs. -5 with a 15-55 KPH ENE wind. +2 in the valley.

      Satellite image from the same timeframe.

Weather Observations for November 16, 2020 taken at 06:00 Hours.

  • 2180 meters      -6,  Winds were 20-30 KPH S--Whistler Peak
  • 1835 meters      -5,  Winds were   5-10 KPH SE--Round House
  • 1650 meters      -6,  1.5 mm in 12 hrs, 12.0 mm in 24 hrs. --Pig Alley
  •   660 meters.      0,  Max temp yesterday was +3.1, 7.0 mm recorded yesterday

Precipitation values recorded at 660 meters (Nesters) last week:

Nov   9, 2020.     4.1 mm
Nov 10, 2020.     1.7 mm
Nov 12, 2020.     9.3 mm
Nov 13, 2020.   15.0 mm
Nov 14, 2020.     1.2 mm
Nov 15, 2020.     7.0 mm

      As of 07:00 Hrs this am we have overcast skies and unlimited visibility.


An approaching warm front in a Southwest flow aloft will bring warmer temperatures and light to heavy precipitation into tonight. Should see the precip ease by early Tuesday morning with the freezing level rising by around noon. A cold front arrives Tuesday afternoon with light to moderate precipitation and the FL should slowly drop by Wednesday with a developing upper level trough. Weakening upper level trough on Thursday with periods of light precip. A shortwave trough is forecasted for Friday with cooler temperatures and light to moderate precip. Looking at a drying trend Saturday into Sunday with overcast skies. Sunday is a ways off, time will tell. Guesstimates: 20-30 cm above 1500 m by Tuesday am, 20-30 cm above 1800 m by Wednesday am, 5-10 cm above 1000 m by Thursday am, 2-6 cm at 660 m by Friday am, 5-10 cm at 660 m by Saturday am trace to 2 cm by Sunday am.

     GOES IR image from this am.

      Warm front moving up the coast with rising freezing levels and periods of light to heavy precip

      Fronts along the coast.

      Cold front on Tuesday pushes through in the afternoon, cooling temperatures. 

      Upper level trough for Wednesday with cooler temperatures and light to moderate precip.

      Upper level trough for Thursday with periods of light precipitation.

     Shortwave trough for Friday with cooler temperatures and light to moderate precipitation.

      Drying trend on Saturday, possibly unsettled weather. May see a sunny break.

    Cooler and dry with mostly cloudy skies on Sunday. May change as it is November!!!


      Avalanche involvement on Black Tusk, Nov 15. MIN report below.                   Benna Flynn Pic

     Skier triggered at the Microwave tower, Nov 14.  MIN report below.     Brendon Armstrong Pic

       Skier triggered avalanche in Mountain Boy Basin, CO. Article  & video below.   CAIC Pic


     Snowing in the valley Monday morning.

      Sunrise Tuesday was at 07:18 Hrs. -8 with a 5-10 KPH ESE breeze.

      Feeling more like winter Tuesday afternoon.

     Sunrise was at 07:19 Hrs Wednesday. -10 with a calm variable breeze at 2240 meters.

      Wednesday, we do live in an amazing environment.

      Thursday sunrise 07:21 Hrs. -8 with a 10-30 SE wind.

      29 cm measured at 12:00 Hrs Friday. Snow from Nov 12 - Nov 13, in Alpine Meadows 750 m.

     Sunrise Saturday 07:24 Hrs. -7 with a 15-25 KPH SE wind.

     Sunrise Sunday 07:26 Hrs. -5 with a 15-50 KPH West wind. Max gust this am at 2240 m 175 KPH


Avalanche Involvements:

Mt Rogers South Face: Nov 8, 2020

Mount Rundle: Nov 12, 2020

Gorge Spookiness: Nov 13, 2020

Bruins Trees: Nov 14, 2020

Metal Dome Profile: Nov 14, 2020

Microwave Tower: Nov 14, 2020

Microwave Tower North Slope: Nov 15, 2020


Skier triggered avalanche near Independence Pass, CO: Nov 9, 2020

Skier triggered avalanche Sawatch Range, CO: Nov 13, 2020

Ski Touring during the age of Covid: Daily Touring

Ski Touring during the age of Covid: Multi-Day Trips

Touchy slabs: Snowdance

Early Season Beacon Drills: Avalanche Guys

Meteorologist David Jones: Nov 16, 2020


Early Season Storms: Avalanche Canada

Avalanche tragedy survivors launch Backcountry Safe: Powder Canada

La Nina Advisory Nov 12, 2020- now at 95% for (Jan-March 2021): NOAA

Can human judgement handle avalanches?: High Country News

Avalanche Forecasting 101: Wild Snow

Skier triggered avalanche and involvement in Colorado. CAIC

How to avoid 'the perfect storm' during Colorado's ski season: Backcountry Guide

On the brink of more Covid-19 restrictions, Vail leaders push unified message: Vail CO


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