AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:
YESTERDAY:
Early Wednesday morning, February 1, 2017.
Skier cross Wednesday on Blackcomb.
Carving hard.
Spindrift below the moon.
Wednesday morning.
Winds in the alpine, 35-85 KPH East -Northeast most of the day.
Ipsoot Wednesday afternoon.
Spindrift to the South later in the day.
Sunset was at 17:05.
Weather Observations for February 2, 2017: taken at 06:00 Hours.
2240 meters -12, Winds were 25-55 KPH E --Horstman Hut
2180 meters -12, Winds were 15-25 KPH ENE --Whistler Peak
1860 meters -13, Winds were 10-15 KPH WNW--Rendevous
1835 meters -14, Winds were 5-20 KPH SSW --Roundhouse
1650 meters -14, 0 cm of new snow, 0 cm in 24 hrs, 208 cm Base, RH 72% --Pig Alley
1550 meters -13, 0 cm of new snow, 0 cm in 24 hrs, 137 cm Base, RH 56% --Catskinner
660 meters -11, Valley Temp, Max Temp Yesterday was -1.1, 0.0 mm of Precip recorded yest
As of 07:00 Hrs we have clear skies and unlimited visibility.
FORECAST:
High pressure aloft will break down today as a weakening warm front moves into the area later today, the flow will switch from Northerly this morning to Southerly later in the day. The FL will remain below surface for today and into Friday. A weak frontal band will push through Friday morning slowly gaining strength as the day progresses. By Saturday a vigorous impulse will bring heavy snow and the FL will remain near the surface.The storm intensifies for Sunday with heavy snow. We could easily get from 80-180 cm of new snow by Tuesday depending on how the low treats us over the weekend.
Guesstimates: 20-25 cm by Saturday morning, 25-40 cm by Sunday morning, 40-60 cm by Monday morning. Let it snow let it snow let it snow!!!!
Another clear day, likely some cloud development.
One more day of nice weather, rex block will deteriorate.
Front will slowly move into the area early Friday morning, intensifying through the day.
Southerly flow for Friday.
Steady precipitation for Saturday.
Heavy precipitation for Sunday.
Steady precipitation for Monday as well.
As of 07:00 Hrs we have clear skies and unlimited visibility.
FORECAST:
High pressure aloft will break down today as a weakening warm front moves into the area later today, the flow will switch from Northerly this morning to Southerly later in the day. The FL will remain below surface for today and into Friday. A weak frontal band will push through Friday morning slowly gaining strength as the day progresses. By Saturday a vigorous impulse will bring heavy snow and the FL will remain near the surface.The storm intensifies for Sunday with heavy snow. We could easily get from 80-180 cm of new snow by Tuesday depending on how the low treats us over the weekend.
Guesstimates: 20-25 cm by Saturday morning, 25-40 cm by Sunday morning, 40-60 cm by Monday morning. Let it snow let it snow let it snow!!!!
Another clear day, likely some cloud development.
One more day of nice weather, rex block will deteriorate.
Front will slowly move into the area early Friday morning, intensifying through the day.
Steady precipitation for Saturday.
Heavy precipitation for Sunday.
Steady precipitation for Monday as well.
Steep Creek conditions report from Jeff Van Driel below. Jeff Van Driel Pic
Plenty of tracks and slope tests in Steep Creek on Duffey Lake Road today.
Snowpack
Surface hoar 5-10mm in sheltered locations. East winds redistributing surface snow with reverse loading. Variable surfaces include hardslab, softslab, crust, wind press and low density snow. January 29 surface hoar down 15cm and reactive in snowpack tests. The December facets continue to slowly settle and gain strength. Shallow rocky terrain remains suspect. Test pit at 1975m on a north aspect snow depth 220cm produced CTE 1 sudden planar down 15cm on surface hoar 4-6mm below a thin crust.
The main concerns are redistributed snow creating isolated and buried windslab size 1-2 as well as shallow rocky terrain propagating on facets to produce up to size 3.5 avalanches. Low probability, high consequence.
Weather
Cold arctic outflow persisted today. -12, clear, light easterly winds. Looked like much higher winds in the Joffre group. Snow was pluming off the ridges there all day. No new avalanches observed.
Ski conditions
The alpine has the above mentioned highly variable snow conditions, whereas sheltered areas treeline and below still hold great skiing.
Cheers
Jeff
Steep Creek area. Jeff Van Driel Pic
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Wind blown natural snow.
Some cool snow formations on the glacier.
Snow makers were loving the temps.
ARTICLES:
List of recent near misses in B.C.: Avalanche Canada
Alberta Government extends avalanche safety funding: Calgary Hearld
Avalanche victims "died of impact" not hypothermia: Italy
Avalanche forecasters keep motorists safe on snowy pass: Snoqualmie Pass
Develop an Avalanche Safety Plan to protect workers in Backcountry areas: OHSInsider
Coal Mine dust lowers spectral reflectance of Arctic Snow by 84 %: Science Daily
Weather making for prime Montana avalanche conditions: Missoula
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