YESTERDAY:
First light Saturday am.Many areas have the glaze.
Nice cut up powder in Blackcomb Glacier.
FORECAST:
An upper level ridge will bring unsettled weather for this morning, becoming cloudy later this am in a Westerly flow aloft. A shortwave trough may brush our area this afternoon with some flurries as it passes South. The freezing level is hovering in the 2100 m range this am with an inversion. Ridge strengthens for Monday with more sun than cloud, still some cloud in the mix during the day. Tuesday is looking mostly cloudy, with some sunny breaks in the mix. Wednesday is looking mostly sunny at this time. So is Thursday and Friday am. Weak trough moves into the area Friday night with some much needed snow into Saturday & Sunday. Guesstimates: 0-trace by Monday am??, 0 cm until Friday evening.
Mix of sun and cloud on Tuesday.
AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:
Cornice control on Blackcomb.FROM AVALANCHE CANADA:
Avalanche Summary
On Friday, natural and skier triggered wind slabs size 1.5-2 were observed and explosive control work produced size 2 cornices. Small solar triggered loose wet avalanches were observed on steep south facing terrain. On Thursday, a few natural wet loose avalanches size 1-2 were observed at treeline and below during the storm as well as some small loose dry at higher elevations. Ski cutting triggered a couple storm slabs size 1-1.5 and explosives triggered several size 2 storm slabs and cornices. The storm slabs appear to typically be 20-30 cm thick but up to 50 cm in loaded terrain.
Last week, a very large natural avalanche cycle took out mature timber and left mountainous piles of debris down to very low elevations. Check out the insane photos of the size 4 in this MIN from January 15th. Avalanches of this scale wouldn't be surprising during the current warm weather. Parts of the region are currently under a Special Public Avalanche Warning (SPAW). Check out this new blog post for additional information.
Snowpack Summary
At higher elevations, 15-30 cm of recent storm snow has buried the widespread January 16 melt-freeze crust which extends to around 2100 m. There have also been some observations of surface hoar sitting on the crust on polar aspects at treeline and in the alpine north of Pemberton but this does not appear to be widespread. The most recent storm snow has formed reactive wind slabs in exposed high elevation terrain. At lower elevations, the upper snowpack is moist or wet from the recent rain event.
The depth of the early December crust/facet layer is highly variable through the region but appears to be typically down 100-200 cm. Some operators are showing the depth as low as 60 cm in shallow snowpack areas and as deep as 3 m in wind loaded terrain. The weak layer is most prominent between 1700 and 2100 m. The layer has been dormant recently but is a concern for the period of major warming and sun forecast over the weekend. The most likely place to trigger it would be in thin, rocky snowpack areas where it is shallowest.
INFORMATION & OBSERVATIONS:
Awesome light in the morning.Tracks on Cowboy Ridge.
LOCAL MIN REPORTS:
Taylor Meadows: Jan 22, 2022
Beating the heat on North Aspects: Jan 22, 2022
Telemagique-al Day Out: Jan 22, 2022
Pemberton Ice Cap nice and dry: Jan 22, 2022
Gin Peak: Jan 22, 2022
VIDEOS:
Looking for unstable conditions: MTavalanche
ARTICLES:
Breaking Trail--Stephanie Nitsch, Founder of Pallas: Powder Cloud
Marker Flexible Touring Goggles up for grabs. Send best avalanche shot to win. wwflann@me.com
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