4 Sept 2023

September 4, 2023

       AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

           Avalanche in Northern India. Article below.


      Na Sz 1 wind slab. 2023/08/30.                                                                           Tom Spencer Image



      Sz 3 Na Cinerama Col, NZ. 2023/08/24. Instagram report below.                              MSW Pic



      WEATHER PAST WEEK:

     Monday August 28, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +22 Deg C with a 15-25 KPH ENE wind at 1835 m.

     12:00 Hrs Monday. +29 Deg C. AQHI at 4. 


      Tuesday August 29, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +10 Deg C with a 5-10 KPH West wind at 1835 m.



      12:00 Hrs Tuesday. +15 Deg C. AQHI 2.


      Wednesday August 30, 2023. 14:00 Hrs. +9 Deg C with a 15-25 KPH West wind at 1835 m.


      14:00 Hrs Wednesday. +20 Deg C. AQHI at 1.

      Thursday August 31, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +6 Deg C with a 5-15 KPH North wind at 1835 m.



      12:00 Hrs Thursday. +15 Deg C. 


      Friday September 1, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +12 Deg C with a 10-20 KPH North wind at 1835 m.


     12:00 Hrs Friday. +22 Deg C. AQHI at 2!

      Saturday September 2, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +17 Deg C with a 2-8 KPH West breeze at 1835 m.


     12:00 Hrs Saturday. +25 Deg C. AQHI was at 2!

      Sunday September 3, 2023. 15:00 Hrs.



     15:00 Hrs Sunday. +17 Deg C. AQHI was at 2!




 Weather Observations for September 4, 2023, taken at 06:00 Hrs.

2180 meters     +3, Winds were 5-10 KPH SE--Whistler Peak
1860 meters     +5, Winds were   4-8 KPH SW--Rendezvous  
1650 meters     +5, 0.2 mm in 12 Hrs, 2.6 mm in 24 Hrs.--Pig Alley
1570 meters     +7, 0.1 mm in 12 Hrs, 1.0 mm in 24 Hrs.-Catskinner
  660 meters   +12, Valley Temp, Max temp Yesterday was +17.9, 0.2 mm of precip yesterday.


      As of 07:00 this am we have upper broken cloud with thicker mid mountain cloud.

     


FORECAST:

Weak cool trough will bring mostly cloudy skies for today in a North Westerly flow aloft. Weak ridge exiting this am has some breaks in the upper level cloud. The FL is hovering around 2800 m. Mostly cloudy for today with the chance of some isolated showers. Some models are calling for some rain. Weak front may just keep clouds in the zone. Likely a mix of sun and cloud for Tuesday with the chance of some isolated showers. There are some model discrepancies so time will tell. Unsettled weather continues into Wednesday with a good chance of some periods of light rain. Drys out for Thursday as of now with dirty ridging.  Mix of sun and cloud into Friday with seasonable temperatures. As of now next weekend is looking sunny with a building ridge!! Drought like conditions are prevailing. Guesstimates: 0-trace by Tuesday am, 0-trace by Wednesday am, trace-1 mm by Thursday am, 0 mm by Friday am, 0 mm by Saturday am, 0 mm by Sunday am.



      GOES IMAGE from this am.


      WINDY IMAGE 2023/09/04. 05:00 Hrs.


       Weak trough Monday with mostly cloudy skies. Seasonable temps.


      Possibility of a few isolated showers Monday but mostly cloudy. 


      North Westerly flow aloft.


       Weak trough for Tuesday, mix of sun and cloud. Seasonable temps.


     Weak trough with some possible isolated showers Tuesday.


       Weak trough Wednesday with a mix of sun and cloud. Seasonable temps.


      Some showers possible on Wednesday.


       Dirty ridging on Thursday, still a trough in the area. Seasonable temps.


      Looking dry for Thursday. Seasonable temps.


      Looks dry as of now for Friday. Seasonable temps.



      Looks dry for Saturday. Seasonable temps.



      High may be present next Sunday, but there may be a change, especially by Monday.


 

      INFORMATION AND OBSERVATIONS:

     20:00 Hrs Monday. AQHI was 4 at 660 m.


      11:00 Hrs Tuesday. AQHI was 2 at 660 m.


      17:00 Hrs Wednesday. AQHI 2 at 660 m.!


      15:00 Hrs Thursday. AQHI at 660 m was 2!

      17:00 Hrs. Thursday. +9 Deg C with a 5-10 KPH NNE breeze at 1835 m.


      Windy image same time frame as above.


     Friday 12:00 Hrs. +7 Deg C with a 20-40 KPH North wind at 2180 m.

     Sunday 14:00 Hrs. Rain showers in Whistler. 0.2 mm recorded at 660 m.



Precipitation measured at 660 m (Nesters Weather Station) over the past 10 years for August.

2014-2.8 mm     2015-29.5 mm     2016-20.8 mm     2017-2.1 mm     2018-11.0 mm

2019-No Data   2020-71.1 mm.    2021-52.1 mm     2022-10.7 mm     2023-16.8 mm        


SHORT CLIPS:

Recent Pow Turns: New Zealand

Skiing: Peru

Only the wind: WakeBoarding

Head First: MTB



Instagram Reports from NZ:

Sz 3 Na Mt Cook Area: 2023/08/24

Deep Slab or persistent Slab: 2023/08/31



ARTICLES:

Avalanche hits Sumeru Mountain in Uttarakhand: Northern India

Backcountry Conditions Report, Sept 1, 2023: Australia

Himalayan avalanches are increasing risk to climbers in warming climate: Research Suggests

Winter 2023/24 Snowfall Predictions: Severe Weather Europe

Atmospheric River swamps Central Chile: Earth Observatory


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