August 25, 2014

    Sunset August 22, 2014; another stellar day.

    Forestry leased 212 with Rap-Attack team fighting fires near Pemberton Friday morning.

    Garibaldi Lake Saturday evening, August 23, 2014. Clouds were forming.

    Sunset August 23, 2014.

    Cumulus cloud development on Sunday.

Weather observations for August 25, 2014; taken at 06:00 Hrs.

2180 meters          +9, Winds were 15-20 KPH from the SSW
1835 meters        +10, Winds were 5-10 KPH from the SSW
1550 meters        +12, Relative Humidity 58 %
  660 meters          +9, Valley Temperature, Max Temp Yest +2

    As of 06:30 hrs we have some scattered high cloud with unlimited visibility. Sunrise 06:18.



For the forecast, upper ridge will bring sunny and warm weather today through Wednesday as a dry Northerly flow influences our area. The ridge will move East as an offshore upper trough begins to push into the area bringing cloudier, unsettled conditions into the weekend. The trough will intensify on Saturday with cooler temperatures and the possibility of some precipitation into Sunday.

    Satellite image from Sunday afternoon. Still enough moisture in the flow to produce clouds.

    Big picture, showing significant moisture over the North Pacific.

    GFS image for today.

    High pressure for the next few days.

    Models agreeing???!!!

    Moisture forecasted for Saturday.




4 Vallee Lift talks held : Future Uncertain

2015 Long Range Forecast for Squamish: Old Farmer's Almanac

Ice caves and avalanche paths: Washington State

Incident summaries for August 11-17, 2014: BC SAR

Still turns to be had at Mt Hood, Oregon: Snowbrains

                             Keeper of the Gate, Big Sky.

                       Sliding Centre from the air.

    Blacktusk.

    Looking Southeast into Garibaldi Park.

August 22, 2014

    Cloudy on August 20, 2014 but no rain that day.

    Sunset August 20, 2014.

    Slide paths near Spidery Peak.

    Cumulus development over Mount Currie prior to the rain August 21, 2014.

    Rain clouds forming Thursday afternoon over Blackcomb.

Weather observations for August 22, 2014; taken at 05:00 Hrs.

2180 Meters          +5, Winds were 25-50 KPH from the WNW
1835 Meters          +6, Winds were 5-15 KPH from the ESE
1550 Meters        +10, Relative Humidity 61 %
  660 Meters          +8, Valley Temperature, Max Temp Yest was +23, Trace of Precip Yest

For the forecast, the system bringing welcome rain to the area yesterday has been replaced by yet another high pressure aloft, with a low level Northerly flow. Sunny skies are back for as long as another week. This system will build over the Pacific Northwest through the weekend with warmer temperatures. The pattern as of now looks like it will continue into next week with gradual cooling by Thursday. There could be a change on Friday with an upper trough developing in the Pacific.

    Satellite image from August 21 St, storm clouds just to the North East.

    Fairly large stationary high in the Pacific.



Video Friday:

Mountain Biker and Cow collision: Pinkbike

Another crash, this time Mountain biker and small child: Live Leak

Amazing athletic ability to survive this motorcycle crash: Russia

Wining Run at 2014 Red Bull Joyride: Brandon Semenuk

Cliff Jump goes all wrong: You Tube





Articles:

BCIC New Ventures: Avystick

Use of open vests to carry avalanche rescue gear "Dangerous": Snowbrains

Three more climbers die on Mont Blanc: France

 Heliski accident last weekend: Wanaka, New Zealand

Coroner urges climbers to be more cautious in avalanche terrain: New Zealand

Pieps DSP Pro V 2.0 Review: Earn Your Turns

Helicopter equipped with mechanical arm used to recover bodies: Mount Rainier

    Large cloud development on August 20, but no rain. A fairly cloudy week with pleasant temps.

    Upper Lillooet   Valley, August 20, 2014.

August 18, 2014

    Above Capricorn Creek, August 16, 2014.

    Semenuk killing it at Joyride,  nearly a perfect run (Score of 96.8),  August 16, 2014.

    Howe Sound Saturday evening.

    Stratus layer early Sunday morning, did lift and dissipate by mid morning.


Weather observations for August 18, 2014; taken at 04:00 Hrs.

2180 meters      +13, Winds were 5-10 KPH from the SSW
1835 meters      +13, Winds were 0-5 KPH from the E
1550 meters      +14, Relative humidity 70 %
  660 meters      +13, Valley Temperature, Max Temp Yest was +27.4, Trace of rain


For the forecast, a fairly nice day today, prior to a short wave upper level trough moving in this evening into Tuesday with a strong North Westerly flow aloft. Marine layer should influence our area with mostly cloudy skies in the mornings and sunny periods as they disipate for Wednesday through Friday. Another ridge is forecasted to build into the area by Saturday. There is a chance of some shower development during the forecast period but its likely to be fairly dry during the week and slightly cooler.

    Northerly flow for most of the week.

   Inconsistencies in the models make it hard to determine precipitation amounts for the week.

    Stratus layer along the coast spreading into the valleys Sunday morning August 17, 2014.

    Moisture should slip down the coast by Wednesday, but may not be very juicy.



Another winter outlook of many!!: Liveweatherblogs.com

Eastern Snow and Avalanche workshop- Nov 8, 2014: ESAW

When a ski trip goes wrong: Traveller

Avalanche safety risk-Self Assessment Quiz: The Backcountry Ski Blog

SAR Incident Reports: August 4-8, 2014

Human contribution to glacier mass loss increasing: Science Daily

   You do not have to look to far out of the backyard for proof of the last article!!

    With rising global temperature some of the small glaciers in our area could be gone in 10 years.
                               

                             Waterfall below Spidery Peak, Upper Lillooet.

    Porteau Boat Launch, August 16, 2014.

    Meager Creek washout taken from an old burn area East side of the valley.

    Sunset August 17, 2014.

August 15, 2014

    Early morning glow.

    Southerly flow bringing smoke from Washington State fires- August 11, 2014. Very Hot Day!!

    Thermally induced trough or just plain smoke? Tuesday evening 07:30, August 12, 2014. +14

   A few very light showers Wednesday morning, just enough to keep the dust down. August 13Th

    Sunrise August 14 Th, stratus layer which burned off as the day progressed.

    Looking South early Thursday morning.




Weather observations for August 15, 2014; taken at 05:00 Hrs.

2180 meters        +10, Winds were 3-8 KPH from the S
1835 meters        +10, Winds were 0-5 KPH from the S
1550 meters        +13, Relative Humidity 97 %
  660 meters        +14, Valley Temperature, Max Temp Yest +25, 1.0 mm of precip yesterday

 We had a trace of rain on August 13, .2 mm on August 14. Still dry!!


For the forecast, more of the same, a mix of sun and cloud with the chance of some showers. Dry warmer weather likely for Sunday into Monday. Still some inconsistency in the models, we certainly missed out on any significant precipitation. An upper trough is in the making for Wednesday into Thursday with cooler temperatures and more cloud.

    Satellite image from Thursday at 17:00 Hrs.

    Big picture looks like more sun and cloud with the odd shower.


Video Fridays:

First triple Backflip on a mountain bike: Gavin Godfrey

Save of the year: Hard on the ankles

Cool POV-Owen Leeper: Jackson Hole 2013-2014

Angels of Mont Blanc: Alpine Rescue

Underflip 180 on a snowmobile: Sweden

Skiing and Rugby: Only in New Zealand






Articles:

CPC\IRI Consensus Probabilistic ENSO Forecast: Looking kind of Neutral

Austrian Mountaineer tries to take his 5 Y O Son to summit Mont Blanc: Chamonix

Chilean Freeskiing Championship Cancelled: El Colorado, Chile

Mont Blanc climbers found dead after search: France

Mountaineer Greg Hill talks surviving an avalanche: GrindTV

Bodies believed to have been spotted below Liberty Ridge: Mount Rainier

    Relatively dry in Whistler on Tuesday, but lots happening near our zone. August 12, 2014.

    Grey day on August 13, 2014. +17 and a very light rain at 10:30 AM.

    Looking up Capricorn Creek, August 14, 2014.