18 Jul 2016

July 18, 2016

    An avalanche in Ngari, Tibet has buried 9 herders--article below.                                        Net Pic

    Monday July 11, 2016 16:00 Hrs. Overcast but dry. 0.5 mm recorded at 1550 meters.

   Tuesday July 12, 2016--07:15 Hrs. +4 Deg Overcast and raining lightly.

    Satellite image from same time frame.

    Light rain in the alpine for most of the day, Tuesday. 0.4 mm recorded at 660 meters.

    Variable visibility Tuesday.

    Large cumulus clouds Wednesday.

    Thursday July 14, 2016. +6 at 1835 meters as of 07:00 Hrs. 1.7 mm of rain recorded at 660 meters.

    Image from early Thursday morning.

    Thundershowers Thursday in Pemberton.

    Friday July 15, 2016 more cloud. 0.8 mm recorded at 660 meters. + 8 at 07:00 hrs.

    Image from Friday morning.

    Rainbow Glacier early Friday morning.

    A few clouds Friday evening,  a trace of rain recorded at 660 meters.

    Saturday July 16, 2016. Low and high level cloud. 09:00 Hrs.

    Image from Saturday morning.

    Nice for most of the day once the lower cloud lifted. 0.8 mm of rain recorded at 660 meters.

    Sunday July 17, 2016. Unsettled in the morning--10:00 Hrs.

     Image from Sunday morning. More of the same!!!

    Cloudy Sunday evening, full moon is on July 19 Th. Lightning strikes again Sunday evening.


Weather Observations for July 18, 2016: taken at 06:00 Hours.

2240 meters     +7, Winds were 10-15 KPH ESE --Horstman Hut
1860 meters     +8, Winds were   5-10 KPH ESE --Rendevous
1550 meters     +9, RH 82%--1.9 mm of rain        -- Catskinner
  660 meters   +11, Valley Temp, Max Temp Yesterday was +23.8. 0.6 mm of Precip recorded yest

Pemberton received 2.1 mm or rain on Saturday and 0.9 mm on Sunday.

   As of 08:00 Hrs this am we have broken cloud and unlimited visibility.

    Image from this morning, looks like some storm clouds over Washington State.


For the forecast, a stationary upper level low to our South will continue to bring unsettled weather with the chance of some thunderstorms into mid week. For today we should see clouds build up this afternoon with a good chance of a thunder storm.  Cool showery weather will prevail until possibly next weekend.  A broad upper level ridge will hopefully build by Friday night or Saturday bringing drier conditions with slightly warmer temperatures in a Westerly flow aloft.

    Low to the South will bring unsettled weather for today with the chance of thunder/lightning.

    Flow into mid week.

    Still looking moist for Wednesday.

    Long range models have a nice looking Monday next week--only time will tell!!



Some statistics from the past 10 years for June, observations taken at Nester's Weather Station.


Year                                       Avg Max Temp                     Total Precipitation

June 2007                                      +17.8                                     75.3 mm
June 2008                                      +18.4                                     28.4 mm
June 2009                                      +21.8                                     28.0 mm
June 2010                                      +17.7                                     58.1 mm
June 2011                                      +17.3                                     25.2 mm
June 2012                                      +16.1                                     55.6 mm
June 2013                                      +19.2                                     56.5 mm
June 2014                                      +20.2                                     20.4 mm
June 2015                                      +25.8                                     12.9 mm
June 2016                                      +20.2                                     64.0 mm



ARTICLES:

An avalanche in Chile has Matilda Rapaport fighting for her life: SnowBrains

An avalanche has buried 9 in Tibet: China

Footage of an avalanche involvement in Chile: July 12, 2016

"Dust on Crust" concerns Avalanche Forecasters: New Zealand

El Nino played a key role in Pacific marine heatwave: Science Daily

June 2016 ENSO discussion--The new Neutral: NOAA

Mountains with high risk of getting stuck in an avalanche: Extreme Travel



    Monday July 11, 2016 Awesome riding conditions. Dry and cool.

    Howe Sound Monday morning.

    Grass Muncher on Whistler Tuesday.

    Mount Currie Wednesday morning.

    Gnarly cotton wood along the Upper Lillooet River

    Merger group Thursday morning.

    Ice cave at the headwaters of the Squamish River, Friday.

    Rainbow sub division.

    Blending in, Howe Sound Saturday.

    Nita lake Sunday evening.

11 Jul 2016

July 11, 2016


   An avalanche on Mount Elburus has one climber missing another injured, story below--Net Pic

    An avalanche in Switzerland has injured 5 hikers-Santis Mtn, article below--Valais Cotovan Pic


    Monday evening July 4, 2016. Post thunder storm. 16.2 mm recorded at 660 meters Monday night.

    Tuesday--July 5, 2016 am-- +2 Deg at 1835 meters early in the am.

    July 5, 2016 pm

    Tuesday saw 4.1 mm of rain at 660 meters.

    Much nicer South of Squamish on Tuesday.

    Wednesday July 6, 2016 am--Nice above the thick stratus layer.

    July 6, 2016--pm  Eventually the layer lifted and dissipated

    Thursday July 7, 2016

    Clouds were in and out in the upper elevations.

    Still lots of snow in the alpine compared to the last few July's.


    Image from Thursday afternoon--July 7. 2016

    Friday--July 8, 2016--Another cloudy moist day--6.7 mm of rain recorded at 660 meters.
    Satellite image from early morning-- July 8, 2016

    Cut banks still fairly high for July 8Th.

    Saturday July 9, 2016--Wet and only +1 Deg at 07:30 Hrs.

    Satellite image-Same time frame as above picture.

    Good day for Kayaking.

    Saturday evening with some breaks in the cloud. 3.2 mm of rain recorded at 660 meters on Sat.

    Sunday July 10, 2016--Nice to see the sun.

    Satellite image from Sunday morning 10:00 Hrs.

    Awesome Sunday morning.

    A few more clouds around Sunday afternoon.

    Last light Sunday evening.

Weather Observations for July 11, 2016: taken at 06:00 Hours.

2240 meters     +3, Winds were 10-15 KPH S --Horstman Hut
1860 meters     +6, Winds were   5-10 KPH S --Rendevous
1550 meters     +7, RH 93%-- Catskinner
  660 meters    +13, Valley Temp, Max Temp Yesterday was +21.4. 0.0 mm of Precip recorded yest

    As of 06:30 Hrs this am we have a mostly overcast sky with variable visibility.

For the forecast, unsettled weather for today as a dirty ridge exits the area with the chance of some light rain showers in the mix. The Southerly flow will switch to Northerly flow aloft as the next low pressure out of the Gulf of Alaska works its way down the coast. Unsettled conditions will prevail for the week with cooler temperatures expected, as a series of cold upper lows move down the coast. Tuesday is looking mostly cloudy, drier on Wednesday and Thursday with some sun in the forecast. Not great confidence in the medium range models but it certainly looks like the low pressure will continue to bring unseasonably cooler temps with some showers during the later part of the week. Friday may be an interesting day. Wish I had a better news.



    Unsettled today, mostly cloudy with some rain showers.

    Mostly cloudy for Tuesday.

    Wednesday may see a very weak ridge bring some drier conditions.

    Thursday may have some potential to be a nice day.

    Unsettled again for Friday.


    Unsettled for Saturday.

    Unsettled for Sunday.




ARTICLES:

German tourist injured in an avalanche on Mount Elbrus evacuated: Russia

Avalanche in Switzerland injures 5 Hikers: Appenzell

US Avalanche Fatality trend Flatlines for 22 Seasons: Backcountry Magazine

Avalanche Risk held to be an Inherit Risk of Skiing: McDivitt Law Firm

Valentin Delluc starts an avalanche speed riding: Red Bull



    A bad day for this young seagull. Tuesday July 5, 2016-- Spanish Banks


    July 6, 2016 Wednesday evening--great riding conditions.

    July 7, 2016 Thursday evening, Howe Sound.

 

    Just before sunset, Friday July 8, 2016.


    Cheakamus River Toad. Saturday July 9, 2016

    Saturday on the Cheakamus River.

    Mom and Cub Sunday afternoon on Whistler.