October 15, 2018

    AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

    Avalanche kills 9 mountaineers on Mount Gurja in Nepal, article below.                       Net Pic

    Some activity after last snowfall on Armchair.

    Here are two great shots from the ISSW 2018 photo gallery.

    PAST WEEK:

    Tuesday morning October 9, 2018.

    Wednesday afternoon October 10, 2018. 15:00 Hrs.

    Thursday morning October 11, 2018.

    Friday morning October 12, 2018. +3 Deg at 08:00 hrs.

    Saturday morning October 13, 2018. Sunrise 07:30 hrs -2 Deg C.

    Sunday morning October 14, 2018. Sunrise 07:32, +3 deg at 1835 meters, -2 at 660 meters.


Weather Observations for October 15, 2018  taken at 06:00 Hours.

2240 meters        +6, Winds were 10-15 KPH NNE--Horstman Hut
1860 meters        +6, Winds were   5-10 KPH NE   --Rendevous
1650 meters              No Data --Pig Alley

  660 meters         -1, Valley Temp, Max Temp Yesterday was +14.2, 0.0 mm of precip recorded yest

    As of 07:00 hrs this am we have clear skies and unlimited visibility.

FORECAST:

The strong persistent upper ridge will continue to bring dry weather into the weekend. A weak Northerly flow aloft for today with the freezing level hovering in the 3700 meter zone with sunny skies. The ridge will slowly drift East during the week and flatten by Wednesday evening/Thursday likely bringing some high cloud to our zone. Ridge rebuilds for Friday into Saturday with more sunny weather. Weakens again on Sunday. As of now looks like we may see some precipitation by next Tuesday.

    GOES IR image from this am.

    Warm temperatures and significant high pressure.

    Awesome fall weather.

    North Pacific with a significant low in the Aleutians and significant high pressure along the Coast.

    High shifts to the East.

    Enjoy while you can!!

    Very warm at 1800 meters.

    Low pushes to the South.

         Some high cloud expected with the ridge weakening, still warm for this time of the year.

    High keeping the Low at bay.

    High weakens slightly, possible high cloud on Thursday.

    High shifts south along the coast and moves North inland.

    High pressure for Saturday.

    Low will likely begin to move South on Sunday.


    INFORMATION & OBSERVATIONS:

    ISSW 2018

    Clouds Monday evening over Lake Simcoe.

    Working on the Horstman T Bar Tuesday October 9, 2018.

    Class B Recco Detector will help with SAR Missions. ISSW 2018                       Ryan Bougie Pic

    Top station of the new six pack being erected on Wednesday.

       Snow in the Southern Alberta Rockies.

    Mount Baker Thursday evening. Looking very white!!!

    Friday morning sunrise.

    Towers are in place, Gondolas are ready at the bottom and the cable is ready to be installed.

    Awesome day on Saturday.

    Large high pressure along the coast on Saturday.

    Stellar day on Sunday, Max temp of +14.2 in the valley, Min temp of -1.9.

VIDEOS:

On line avalanche skills for sledders: Backcountry Ascender

Solar Induced Dry Slab Avalanches: Vimeo

When it does snow, things you should know: UAC

Early season avalanche in Colorado: Loveland Pass


ARTICLES:

Details unclear but it appears 9 mountaineers have been killed in an avalanche on Mt. Gurja: Nepal

Trampers warned of avalanche risk in South Island: New Zealand

Early season 2018: Avalanche Canada

El Nino Diagnostic Discussion Oct 11, 2018: NOAA

Bryce & Ronnie Athlete Snow Safety Foundation: BRASS

When do avalanches release: WSL

Widow fights for avalanche awareness: Colorado Sun

Her young husband died in an avalanche and she is installing signs to warn others: Idaho

October 8, 2018

    AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

    An avalanche in Pakistan engulfs trekkers, video and article below. 


    PAST WEEK:

    Tuesday morning October 2, 2018 -- Sunrise 07:13 hrs--+1.5 Deg C.

    Wednesday morning October 3, 2018.

    Thursday morning October 4, 2018. Just before sunrise. -2.3 Deg C at 07:00 Hrs.

    Friday morning October 5, 2018.

    Saturday morning October 6, 2018.

    Sunday morning October 7, 2018. 10:45 am.



Weather Observations for October 8, 2018  taken at 06:00 Hours.

2240 meters          0, Winds were 5-10 KPH SE--Horstman Hut
1860 meters        +1, Winds were 5-10 KPH SE--Rendevous
1650 meters              No Data --Pig Alley

  660 meters        +5, Valley Temp, Max Temp Yesterday was +7.5, 4.5 mm of precip recorded yest

    As of 07:00 Hrs this am we have overcast skies and variable visibility.



FORECAST:

A Pacific frontal system will bring intermittent showers and periods of rain today in a Northwest flow aloft. The freezing level will hover in the 2500 meter zone for today. An upper level trough will follow the frontal band with mostly cloudy skies by tonight with the chance of some showers into Tuesday morning. A ridge of high pressure should begin building on Tuesday and strengthen on Wednesday. Good agreement in the models for the ridge to persist into next weekend.

    GOES IR image from this am.

    Low moving down the coast.

    Front pushing through this am.

    High building to the North.

    Fronts along the coast.

    Trough for early Tuesday, should see a drying trend by Tuesday afternoon.

    Nice looking Tuesday afternoon.

    High strengthens Wednesday.

    May see some cloud development.

    High dominates with fairly warm temperatures.

    Low from the North begins to push South.

    We might see some cloud on Friday but good chance high will win out.

    INFORMATION & OBSERVATIONS:

    Monday morning Oct 1, 2018 08:30 hrs.

    Moist day in the valley Monday, 26.4 mm of rain recorded at 660 M.

    Great colours Tuesday morning,

    Looking white for the beginning of October, Wednesday morning.

    Thursday, blue bird with a touch of winter!

    Friday evening.

    Just after sunrise Saturday morning.

    A moist day on Sunday, 4.5 mm recorded at 660 meters.

    Thanksgiving morning.




VIDEOS:

ISSW Oct 7-12, 2018: Teaser

Trekkers caught in an avalanche in Pakistan: October 1, 2018



ARTICLES:

Trekkers are sent hiding in rocks as an avalanche engulfs them: Pakistan

Experts issue advisory about dangers of avalanches in the backcountry: CTV News

Early snow prompts avalanche warning in high alpine areas: Switzerland

How to properly prepare for avalanches: Learn from the Pros