Wayne Flann Avalanche Blog

5 Jun 2023

June 5, 2023

AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

Drone footage of some of the avalanche damage in Utah. Look in short clips below. Toni K Pic

Some campgrounds destroyed by the large avalanche cycle in Utah. Tony Korologos Pic

Old activity on the Tantalus Range, image taken Friday. June 2nd.

Old avalanche activity Iceberg Lake. Saturday.

Avalanche report near the Remarkables Ski Area: New Zealand

WEATHER PAST WEEK:

Monday May 29, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +8 Deg C with a 5-15 KPH SW wind at 1835 m.

Monday 12:00 Hrs. +21 Deg C at 660 m.

Tuesday May 30, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +4 Deg C with a 10-20 KPH WSW wind at 1835 m.

Tuesday 12:00 Hrs. +17 Deg C at 660 m.

Wednesday May 31, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +2 Deg C with a 10-15 KPH SW wind at 1835 m.

12:00 Hrs Wednesday. +14 Deg C at 660 m.

Thursday June 1, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +6 Deg C with a 5-10 KPH SW breeze at 1835 m.

Thursday 12:00 Hrs. +19 Deg C at 660 m.

Friday June 2, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. + 8 Deg C with a 5-10 KPH SE breeze at 1835 m.

Friday 12:00 Hrs. +20 Deg C at 660 m.

Saturday June 3, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. + 8 Deg C with a 5-15 KPH SW wind at 1835 m.

Maximum temperature in the valley Saturday was 22.8 Deg C.

Sunday June 4, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +5 Deg C with a 15-25 KPH West wind at 1835 m.

Sunday 12:00 Hrs. +19 Deg C at 660 m.

Weather Observations for June 5, 2023 taken at 06:00 Hours.

2280 meters -2, Winds were 10-15 KPH ESE--Horstman Hut

1860 meters 0, Winds were 5-10 KPH SSW--Rendezvous

1650 meters +2, 0 mm in 12 Hrs, 0 mm in 24 Hrs. Base 42 cm--Pig Alley

1570 meters +2, 0 mm in 12 Hrs, 0 mm in 24 Hrs. Base 0 cm--Catskinner

660 meters +3, Valley Temp, Max temp Yesterday was +20.6, 0.0 mm of precip yesterday.

As of 06:00 Hrs we hav 0.0 mm of new precipitation, Base 42 cm at 1650 m.

As of 07:00 Hrs we have clear skies and unlimited visibility.

Data from the past ten years for accumulated precipitation measured at 660 m for May:

2023-14.5 mm 2022-71.9 mm 2021-38.9 mm 2020-52.8 mm 2019-18.9 mm 2018-15.8 mm

2017-45.9 mm 2016-46.6 mm 2015-28.4 mm 2014-20.4 mm

FORECAST:

Ridge strengthens early this week with warmer temperature's by mid week. Sunny skies for today in a Westerly flow aloft. The FL is hovering around 1900 m this am and will spike back up to 3000+ m with day time heating. FL could easily rise to 4000+ meters by Thursday. Dirty ridging Thursday into Friday with more cloud in the mix. Low for Saturday into Sunday but that is a ways out, with seasonable temperatures. Some precipitation is being forecasted. Long range forecasts change quickly in June. Possible ridging early next week with warmer temperatures. Time will tell! Guesstimates: 0 mm of precipitation until at least Thursday. Guesstimates: 0-trace by Friday am, 5-10 mm by Saturday am, 8-12 mm by Sunday am.

GOES IR IMAGE from this am.

WINDY IMAGE 2023/06/05. 05:00 Hrs.

Ridge of high pressure strengthening for Monday. Seasonable temperatures.

No precipitation expected Monday.

Ridge still dominant feature Tuesday, sunny skies with above average temperatures.

No precipitation on Tuesday.

Ridge still in control on Wednesday. Sunny. Above average temperatures.

No precipitation on Wednesday.

Ridge weakens Thursday, sunny in the am, clouds in the pm. Above average temps.

Sunny Thursday am, clouds move in in the pm. Above average temps.

Low moves in from the South Friday with some light precip in the late pm. Above average temps.

Periods of precipitation on Saturday. Seasonable temps.

Looks like it may be a wet day on Sunday with seasonable temps.

INFORMATION AND OBSERVATIONS:

Moving snow around on Horstman Glacier. Camps start June 10-July 17, 2023.

May 30, 2023. Snow melt, has slowed down. Will speed back up this week with warmer temps.

Sunset May 31, saw clouds dissipate, high strengthening.

Windy image early June 1, 2023.

Dirty ridging Thursday June 1, 2023. Sunrise was at 05:07 Hrs.

Armchair Glacier very exposed!

June 2, 2023. 02:00 Hrs. Bright moonlight.

Not much snow left on Nch'Kay. (Mt Garibaldi) Friday.

Different perspective of Horstman Glacier! Saturday.

CDFL Training Saturday. Whistler SAR

Sunday afternoon.

SHORT CLIPS:

Avalanche Damage in Little Cottonwood Canyon: May 28, 2023

Avalanche Control: Solitude, UT

Serac Collapse: Manaslu

Even a Size 1 can hurt: Lucky

ARTICLES:

Body of avalanche victim recovered after being spotted by volunteer: Washington State

Avalanches are still happening in Colorado: Snowboarder

How climate change worsens avalanches in the Himalayas: The Third Pole

2022-23 Swiss Avalanche fatalities: Pistehors

Man survives avalanche after being buried for 24+ Hrs.: Pakistan

The role of Satellites in avalanche prediction and monitoring: TS2

The growing influence of drones in avalanche risk assessment: TS2

Another deadly year for Colorado Skiing: SnowBrains

The Southern Hemisphere's snowiest ski resorts: PlanetSki

Winner of the Marker goggles for April/May is Kyle Long for this image taken April 27, 2023.

Winner for the best image for the 2022/2023 season is Jamie May. Prior snowboard.

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29 May 2023

May 29, 2023

AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

An avalanche has killed eleven people on Shunter Pass, Pakistan. Article below. Net Pic.

An avalanche on the Jegi Glacier, SWI. has killed three Dutch Mountaineers. Article below. Net Pic

Tragic avalanche claims three lives in Bajhang, Nepal. Article below. Katmandu Post Pic

Lower disease ridge image taken May 27, 2023. 25 days after the event.

WEATHER PAST WEEK:

Monday May 22, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +1 Deg C with a 0-5 KPH variable breeze at 2280 m.

Tuesday May 23, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +2 Deg C with a 5-15 KPH WNW wind at 1835 m.

Tuesday 12:00 Hrs in the village. +10 Deg C at 660 m.

Wednesday May 24, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +7 Deg C with a 5-10 KPH North breeze at 1835 m.

Wednesday 12:00 Hrs. +15 Deg C in the valley.

Thursday May 25, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +10 Deg C with a 5-15 KPH North wind at 1835 m.

Thursday 12:00 Hrs. +22 Deg C in the valley.

Friday May 26, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +13 Deg C with a 5-10 KPH SSW breeze at 1835 m.

12:00 Hrs. Friday. +24 Deg C at 660 m.

Saturday May 27, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +12 Deg C with a 2-10 KPH West breeze at 1835 m.

12:00 Hrs Saturday. +22 Deg C at 660 m.

Sunday May 28, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +7 Deg C with a 19-20 KPH SW wind at 1835 m.

Sunday 12:00 Hrs. +19 Deg C at 660 m.

Weather Observations for May 29, 2023 taken at 06:00 Hours.

2280 meters +2, Winds were 10-20 KPH SE--Horstman Hut

1860 meters +4, Winds were 5-10 KPH SE--Rendezvous

1650 meters +5, 0 mm in 12 Hrs, 0 mm in 24 Hrs. Base 83 cm--Pig Alley

1570 meters +5, 0 mm in 12 Hrs, 0 mm in 24 Hrs. Base 0 cm--Catskinner

660 meters +7, Valley Temp, Max temp Yesterday was +22.5, 0.0 mm of precip yesterday.

As of 06:00 Hrs this am we have no new precipitation. Base 83 cm at 1650 m. Base 0 cm at 1570 m.

As of 07:00 Hrs this am we have broken cloud and unlimited visibility.

FORECAST:

Dirty ridging for Monday in a Westerly flow aloft. The FL is hovering around 2400 m and might rise to 2800 m with daytime heating today. Dirty ridging for most of the week with the chance of some isolated showers Wednesday, Thursday, and Saturday. Friday may be an overcast day. Ridging will strengthen next Sunday with warmer temperatures into early next week. Guesstimates: 0 mm until Thursday, 0-trace mm by Friday am, 0 mm by Saturday am , 0-trace by Sunday am, 0-trace by Monday am.

GOES IR IMAGE form this am.