7 Aug 2023

August 7, 2023

     AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

      Partially buried skier rescued in the Remarkables, NZ. 2023/08/05. Articles below. NSC Image


      NZSC Instagram reports below. Always lessons to be learned.                                   NZAA Image

      Sz 3 Slab, Xe 2023/08/03. Treble Cone, NZ. Video in short clips below.           TCSP Image

      Sz 2 remotely released, PWL, 2023/08/02.  Mt Cook area. Instagram report below.    NZAC Image



      WEATHER PAST WEEK:

      Monday July 31, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +9 Deg C with a 10-20 KPH West wind at 1835 m.


     12:00 Hrs. Monday. +21 Deg C.


      Tuesday August 1, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +11 Deg C with a 15-30 KPH West wind at 1835 m.


     12:00 Hrs Tuesday. +23 Deg C.


      Wednesday August 2, 2023. 13:00 Hrs. +12 Deg C with a 5-20 KPH South wind at 1835 m.


      13:00 Hrs Wednesday. +21 Deg C.

      Thursday August 3, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +10 Deg C with a 10-15 KPH West wind at 1835 m.


     12:00 Hrs Thursday. +25 Deg C. 

      Friday August 4, 2023. 12:00 Hrs. +15 Deg C with a 6-12 KPH West wind at 1835 m.


     12:00 Hrs Friday. +27 Deg C in the valley. AQHI at 2.

      Saturday August 5, 2023. 15:00 Hrs. +20 Deg C with a 10-20 KPH West wind at 1835 m.


      15:00 Hrs. Saturday. +31 Deg C.


      Sunday August 6, 2023. 12:00 Hrs.



     12:00 Hrs Sunday. +24 Deg C. AQHI at 2.





Weather Observations for August 7, 2023 taken at 06:00 Hours.

2280 meters     +8, Winds were 5-10 KPH ESE--Horstman Hut
1860 meters   +10, Winds were   0-5 KPH N--Rendezvous  
1650 meters   +11, 0 mm in 12 Hrs, 0 mm in 24 Hrs.--Pig Alley
1570 meters   +12, 0 mm in 12 Hrs, 0 mm in 24 Hrs.--Catskinner
  660 meters   +15, Valley Temp, Max temp Yesterday was +26.5, 0.0 mm of precip yesterday.


      As of 06:30 Hrs this am, we have broken cloud and unlimited visibility.



     

FORECAST:

Weak shortwave trough pushing in with a mix of sun and cloud in a Southerly flow aloft. The FL is hovering around 3800 m. Chance of a few isolated showers this pm. Flow will shift to Northwesterly with a low to the North sending a cool frontal band with light rain early Tuesday am, throughout the day into Early Wednesday pm. Trough may weaken by Wednesday afternoon with a drying trend but some models are calling for a wet Wednesday as well. Zonal flow on Thursday will likely bring a mostly cloudy day with some pm sunny breaks. Ditto for Friday into the weekend. Dirty ridging by Sunday? Unsettled weather! Guesstimates: 0-trace by Tuesday am, 4-8 mm by Wednesday am, 4-8 mm by Thursday am, trace-1 mm by Friday am, 0 mm by Saturday am, 0 mm by Sunday am.



      GOES IMAGE from this am.


      WINDY IMAGE 2023/08/07. 05:00 Hrs.


       Mix of sun and cloud Monday. Chance of afternoon showers. Seasonable temps.


      Possible pm showers, Monday from the low pushing in from the South.


      Southerly flow aloft Monday transitioning to Northerly by Tuesday.


        Frontal band on Tuesday with light rain and below average temperatures.


      Cool front for Tuesday with light precipitation.



        Weakening front for Wednesday with periods of light precipitation. Below average temps.


      Unsettled weather for Wednesday with a mix of sun and cloud, periods of light rain.



           Weak trough with a mix of sun and cloud for Thursday. Weak ridging in the pm.


      Looking dry at this time Thursday with a mix of sun and cloud.


      Friday could see a mix of sun and cloud.



      Saturday will likely be a mix of sun and cloud.



      Sunday the ridge may strengthen with mostly sunny skies.



      INFORMATION AND OBSERVATIONS:

      Cloudy in the mid pm. Monday.

      Sunrise Tuesday, 05:41 Hrs. +6 Deg C with a 5-10 KPH ESE breeze at 1860 m. AQHI 2.

      Increase in rockfall activity above Horstman Glacier, Wednesday am.

      Rumbling Glacier Wednesday am. Upper level trough brought a cloudy cool day!

      Mix of sun and cloud in Pemberton Thursday pm. High in the valley of +32.4 Deg C.


      Concert Series delivers with great entertainment Friday evening. Perfect weather!!


      Smoke moving into the valley with outflow winds Saturday am. 07:00 Hrs. AQHI 2 at 660 m.


      Early Saturday morning, image taken as same time line as above image. Weak trough moving in.

      Tricouni Peak Sunday am. Some high level smoke in the corridor.

      A different perspective/aspect of Tricouni Peak.



SHORT CLIPS:

Avalanche Control: Treble Cone, NZ

Avalanche: Many POV's

Wing Foiling: Big Waves

Kite Surfing: Para Gliding?

Dangerous Activity: Riding on a wet avalanche



INSTAGRAM AVALANCHE REPORTS:

SZ 3 PWL incident in the Remarkables: NZ

Skier caught in avalanche: Remarkables

Persistent Weak Layer: PWL

Concerning avalanche behaviour: Aoraki/Mount Cook



ARTICLES:

Partially buried skier/snowboarder rescued from Remarkables avalanche: New Zealand

Survivor of Queenstown avalanche describes how 'one wrong step' was all it took: New Zealand

"Bombs' dropped to clear avalanche danger after snow dump: Remarkables, NZ

Backcountry Ski Report August 4, 2023 from Australia: Mountain Safety Collective

Park City Powder Cats sued by wife of skier killed in Uintus avalanche: Utah

Avalanche alerts as snow closes roads, delays flights: New Zealand

Parks employee missing after avalanche in March recovered. Idaho

Unveiling the facts and safety measures: Avalanches at ski resorts

ENSO and Climate change-What does the new IPCC report say!: NOAA

Understanding basal facets, mid summer thoughts for the upcoming winter: Powder

It is mid winter in South America, but it is 38 Deg C: Heat Dome



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