31 Oct 2022

October 31, 2022


      Happy Halloween. Models are encouraging for drier weather by 16:00 Hrs today.


      AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

     First Human triggered avalanche in North America of the season. Mount Baldy.  UAC Image


      Sz 0.5 wet loose near Queenstown, NZ. 2022/10/25.                                                 NZAA Pic


      WEATHER IN THE PAST WEEK:

      Monday October 24, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. -2 Deg C with a 20-40 KPH South wind.


      Tuesday October 25, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. -3 Deg C with a 15-35 KPH SE wind.


      Wednesday October 26, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. -3 Deg C with a 5-20 KPH SSW wind.


      Thursday October 27, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. 0 Deg C with a 25-70 KPH ESE wind.


      Friday October 28, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. -3 Deg C with a 20-45 KPH SSW wind.

      Saturday October 29, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. 0 Deg C with a 15-40 KPH SE wind.


      Sunday October 30, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. 0 Deg C with a 20-50 KPH South wind.



Weather Observations for October 31, 2022 taken at 06:00 Hours.

2180 meters     -2, Winds were 70-90 KPH SSW--Whistler Peak 
1835 meters     -1, Winds were 15-30 KPH SE--Round House
1650 meters      0, 5.2 mm in 12 Hrs, 29.2 mm? in 24 Hrs --Pig Alley
  660 meters    +5, Valley Temp, Max temp Yesterday was +6.8, 28.7mm of precip yesterday. 

Precipitation amounts measured from last Monday to this Monday in the Sea to Sky Corridor. 
West Vancouver 181.2 mm, Squamish 216 mm, Whistler 80.7 mm?, Pemberton 48.3 mm.
Most of the moisture stayed South of our zone.

Temperatures at 2180 m over the past few days have seen Highs of -1 with lows of -3.



      As of 07:00 Hrs Monday we have overcast skies, limited visibility and snowing lightly.


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FORECAST:

The weak AR will push through today transitioning to a cool upper level trough  this pm in a Westerly flow aloft. We can expect periods of light precipitation with a chance of some sunny breaks later in the afternoon. Dirty ridging will develop for Tuesday with a mix of sun and cloud with the chance of an afternoon shower. Cool cloudy dry weather for Wednesday with some afternoon sunny breaks. Weak front for Thursday with cool temperatures and light precipitation, could see snow in the valley. Precipitation will pick up in the pm as the AR event moves down the coast.  Warm? wet and windy for Friday with an active frontal band. As of now looks unsettled Saturday and Sunday with a mix of sun, cloud and snow showers with cooler temperatures. Looks like cooler temperatures with some flurries early next week. Will update again Thursday with more up to date information. Guesstimates: 5-10 mm by Tuesday am, 0 mm by Wednesday am, 0-trace mm by Thursday am, 5-10 mm by Friday am, 30-50 mm by Saturday am, 1-2 mm by Sunday am, 1-3 mm by Monday am.



      GOES IR Image for Monday am, front pushing through this am.


      GOES 17 ABI Image 2022/10/31. 05:00 Hrs. AR event has shifted South.


      Next AR event arrives Thursday/Friday. Windy image.


      Weak cooler trough by later this am Monday. 

      Some moisture this Monday am, drying out this pm with chance of some breaks later today.


      Westerly flow aloft for today.


      Dirty ridging Tuesday pm with mostly cloudy skies in the am. Cooler temperatures.


      Lingering cloud but drying trend Tuesday.



      Dirty ridging Wednesday with sunny skies in the pm on Wednesday. Cool temperatures.

      Ridging on Wednesday with sunny skies in the pm.


      Front arrives Thursday, still fairly cool in the am, may warm up in the pm.


      Front arrives Thursday with the beginning of the next AR event.


      Looking wet Friday with strong winds.


      Drier Saturday with cool temperatures and snow flurries.

      Weak front for Sunday with light snow to the valley.


      INFORMATION & OBSERVATIONS: 

      First snow to the valley Monday Oct 24th. 08:00 Hrs.


      Monday morning. 


      Snow flurries Monday 16:30 Hrs. -2 Deg C.

      Tuesday 10:00 Hrs. -4 Deg C with a 15-30 KPH SE wind. Winter in the alpine.


      Snow stake Wednesday 06:00 Hrs. 7.7 mm recorded, looks like around 10-12 cm.


      Wednesday Sunrise, 07:52 Hrs. -7 Deg C at 2280 m. 8.3 mm recorded at 1570 m at 06:00 Hrs.


      GOES 17 ABI Image 2022/10/26. 07:00 Hrs. Weak shortwave ridge over Whistler. Storm coming! 

       Looking wet for Thursday, break Friday before more weather early Saturday.

      Snow line Wednesday afternoon.

      Thursday 06:00 Hrs. +1 Deg C. 3.0 mm recorded in precip gauge at Pig Alley, (1650m).


      Sunrise 07:53 Hrs. 0 Deg C. 3.9 mm recorded at 1570 m.


      Thursday. Next one top left looks juicy as well! You can smell the pineapples today.


      Much going on in the North Pacific. Sunday event looks wet.


      Friday, cornice lines forming. 100-140 KPH winds in the alpine on Thursday.


      Straw line? installed on Red. Saturday 17:00 Hrs.  High of 0, Low of -2 at 1835 m. 


    Saturday same time line as above image. Periods of light precip up until 17:00 Hrs. 4.5 mm at 1650.


         From South Coast Touring Oct 29th, 50 cm on the way up to Metal Dome. Andy Buchanan pic.


      Sunday morning. More moisture coming for next week. Nov 4th could be juicy.


      Sunday am. GOES 17 ABI Image.  100-140 KPH winds at 2180 m in the am.


     Sunday 12:00 Hrs at 1860 m, 0 Deg C with a 30-55 KPH South wind.


      Sunday 12:00 Hrs +2 Deg C. 22 mm recorded in precip gauge from midnight to noon.


VIDEOS:

Fast moving avalanche: Stopped just in time

Big Air: Lucky Recovery

Cheating death after initiating an: Avalanche

Controlling Cornices: AvyBites

Early Season Hazards: AvyBites

How to do a Pre-Season Gear Check: MtAvalanche

Early Season Beacon Drills: MtAvalanche

Skier Triggered Avalanche Animation: Bruce Jamieson


ARTICLES:

Human-triggered avalanches in the Cottonwood Canyon prompts warning:Utah

Elk Valley Snow Avalanche Workshop: November 13, 2022

A space to Breathe--Recovery for Mountain Trauma: PowderCloud

First triple-dip La Nina of the century: WMO

Study suggests La Nina winters could keep on coming: University of Washington

Avalanche Film about Rogers Pass, 1979: Revelstoke Mountaineer

The Changing Face of Avalanche Canada: PowderCloud

Early Season Jaunts at Old Familiar Haunts: Avalanche Canada

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