November 3, 2022

     AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

      Na Sz 1.5 Cold Bank Pass, CO. 2022/11/2.  Click here-CAIC Report                  Travis Laverty Pic

      Sa Sz 0.5 in Utah. 2022/11/02  Click here-UAC Report.                                                     UAC Pic

      Na slab avalanche Schofield Pass, CO. End of October.                                     CAIC Pic

      Du Faur Peak, Mount Cook Area, NZ. 2022/10/31. Wet loose and wet slab avalanches. NZA Pic

      Report posted below from TSB after Heli incident while performing AC March 2022. TSB Image

      WEATHER IN THE PAST THREE DAYS:

      Monday October 31, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. -3 Deg C with a 20-55 KPH WSW wind.

      Tuesday November 1, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. -5 Deg C with a 0-5 KPH Southerly Breeze. Cold enough!

      Wednesday November 2, 2022. 13:00 Hrs. -7 Deg C with a 5-15 KPH North wind.

      Skiing Brohm Ridge Wednesday. Hs 95 cm. 4 Layers MF under fresh.            Rick Meloff Image

       CTH 24 at 25 cm sitting on facets. Surface Hoar in the mix!!

      Brohm Ridge Wednesday afternoon!                                                                                 WF Image

      If you like this blog please donate to keep it going. Click top right side bar.                      WF Pic

   

Weather Observations for November 3,2022 taken at 06:00 Hours.

2180 meters   -10, Winds were 35-45 KPH SW--Whistler Peak 

1835 meters     -7, Winds were 15-35 KPH SSW--Round House

1650 meters     -6, 0.0 mm in 12 Hrs, 0.0 mm in 24 Hrs. Base 52 cm (ESDS) --Pig Alley

  660 meters     -3, Valley Temp, Max temp Yesterday was +4.2, 0.0 mm of precip yesterday. 

      Sunrise Thursday 08:05 Hrs. Overcast skies with variable visibility.

 FORECAST:

AR event moving down the coast in a North-Northwesterly flow aloft. Increasing cloud cover with precipitation and moderate winds as the morning progresses. Snow expected today to the valley with the freezing level rising tomorrow as the milder air and moisture hit the coast. Wet, warm, and windy Friday. Surface to 1800 m freezing level than back down to surface would be nice. Some models are calling for it to go high as 2000 m. Time will tell!! Saturday is looking unsettled with some flurries, mostly cloudy skies with some sunny breaks.  Low will bring a weak trough for Sunday with the possibility of light snow down to the valley. Much cooler temps with some possible flurries Monday. Arctic outbreak will bring dry cold weather for early next week. Will post again Monday. Will post Mondays and Thursdays until winter operations. Guesstimates: 10-15 mm by Friday am, 10-25 mm by Saturday am, 1-5 mm by Sunday am, 0-5 mm by Monday am.

      GOES IR Image from Thursday am.

      GOES 17 ABI image 2022/11/03. 05:00 Hrs.

      Windy image Thursday 06:00.

         AR (3?) event moving down the coast Thursday, still cool but looking to change.

      Moisture plume Thursday before Noon.

      Northerly flow aloft.

      Warmer air for Friday. Wet, warm and windy. Should be short lived.

      Friday, appears this may not miss us.

        Looks like Washington State will get a good soaking. Friday!!

      AR event transitions to a cool weak upper level low on Saturday.

      Low off the coast Saturday, should bring us unsettled weather with some showers.

      Low still off the coast, cooler temps, snow to the valley. Arctic outbreak sinking south.

      Mix of some moisture and cool air for snow into the lower elevations.

      Weakening trough with unsettled weather for Monday. Arctic air with flurries.

      INFORMATION & OBSERVATIONS:

     10:00 Hrs Monday. Sunny Breaks with showers. -1 Deg C with a 20-30 KPH SSW wind.
 

      Monday, breaks between showers. Stayed cold and looking good!                                  WF Image

     November 1, 2022. 06:00 Hrs. 10.3 mm recorded at 1650 m. -7 Deg C. Base 57 cm, via ESDS.

       Bowling Alley is filling in. Lots of wind transported snow. Tuesday -10 Deg C at 2280 m.

      Armchair Glacier Tuesday pm. Hi of 0 Low of -10 at 2280 m.                                           WF Image

      Tuesday Evening, Full Moon coming November 8, 2022. Total Lunar Eclipse.            WF Image

      21:00 Hrs Tuesday. Half moon is bright. -10.5 Deg C at 2280 m.

      Sunrise Wednesday, 08:03 Hrs. -9 Deg C at 1835m  with a 5-15 KPH North wind. Making snow!

      Making Snow Wednesday 09:00 Hrs. -9 Deg C at 1860 m.

      Rumbling Glacier, Wednesday am. 2 meter base would be nice!                                       WF Image

      Sled Delivery to No Limits Motorsports Squamish. Winter is coming!                              WF Photo

      Paddle-boarding is unlikely next week with an Arctic Outbreak forecasted. 5 Mil Suit!  WF Pic

      Beavers have created a few obstacles, but that is what they do!!! Maintain Wet Lands!      WF Pic

VIDEOS:

Reactive New Snow: AvyBites

Ski Cutting slab avalanche: Sz 2?

Steep lee slope with two avalanches: Avy Bites

Staying out of harms way: Skilled or Lucky

Aval mapper--Monitoring avalanches with long endurance UAVs: ASL Team

ARTICLES:

Helicopter Crash reviewed by TSB after performing avalanche control last March: Kootenays

Colorado Avalanche Information Centre open for business: Nov 1, 2022

Early season snowfalls in North America with resorts opening: Planet Ski

Arctic Oscillation and Polar Vortex Analysis and Forecasts: Versik

Shrinking Himalayan Glaciers spell trouble downstream: Yale Climate Connection