10 Nov 2022

November 10, 2022

     AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

      Two more avalanche deaths in France. Article below.                       File photo from Pisthors.com


          Skier Remote Front Range, Co. 2022/11/07. Click for report-CAIC             CAIC Pic


      Cornice drop, Sz 2 slab 2022/11/03. New Zealand. Facebook report here-NZAA


     WEATHER IN THE PAST WEEK:

      Monday November 7, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. -13 Deg C with a 5-20 KPH NNW wind. Fog or ice?


      12:00 Hrs Monday from 2280 m. -14 Deg C with a 15-30 KPH East wind.

      Tuesday November 8, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. -11 Deg C with a 10-20 KPH NNE wind.

      Wednesday November 9, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. -3 Deg C with a 0-5 KPH SE breeze.


   
Weather Observations for November 10, 2022 taken at 06:00 Hours.

2180 meters  -10, Winds were 20-30 KPH W--Whistler Peak 
1835 meters    -6, Winds were   5-10 KPH S--Round House
1650 meters   -11, 0.0 mm in 12 Hrs, 0.0 mm in 24 Hrs, Base 62 cm --Pig Alley
  660 meters    -8, Valley Temp, Max temp Yesterday was -2.5, 0.0 mm of precip yesterday. 


      As of 07:00m Hrs Thursday Nov 10th, we have a stratus layer with unlimited visibility above 1500 m.



FORECAST:

Unfortunately the dry weather will continue into early next week. For today we can expect an increase in cloud as a weak front moves down the coast in a Northerly flow aloft.  Stratus cloud layer has already moved into inland valleys. Overcast conditions with  cool temperatures later today. The flow aloft switches to  Westerly later in the day. Friday will see a chance of some showers but looks pretty dry. Dirty ridging for the weekend with mostly sunny skies with some cloud in the mix. More of the same early next week. Will post again on Monday. Guesstimates: 0 mm by Friday am, 0-1 mm by Saturday am. 0 mm for Sunday into next week. May see some precipitation Friday Nov 18, 2022.???? It can change!!


      GOES IR Image from this am.


      GOES 17 ABI Image 2022/11/10. 05:00 Hrs.

      Stratus Layer has moved inland, low moving down the coast Thursday. Warmer!

     Stratus cloud has moved into coastal valleys, no precipitation for Thursday.

      Northerly flow aloft for most of Thursday.

            Low well off the coast, overcast with chance of some showers Friday.

      Most of the moisture is well off the coast Friday. Overcast with slight chance of a shower.

      Dirty ridging for Saturday with a mix of sun and cloud,  slightly below seasonable temperatures.


      Low well too the South, dry unsettled weather for Saturday.


      Weak high for Sunday with a mix of sun and cloud. Cool temperatures.

      Unsettled Sunday with no precipitation. Blocking pattern as high is in control.


      Dry Monday with ridging still in control.


     INFORMATION & OBSERVATIONS: 

      Snowmaking on Whistler Monday was creating a moist cloud obscuring the roundhouse camera.

      Cold temperatures in the valley Monday, Low of -8 Deg C with a brisk North outflow. 

     Still hungry bears in the valley. 

      Tuesday am, arctic high well established over Whistler. -10 at 660 m 06:00 Hrs. 

      Sunrise Tuesday 07:13 Hrs. -16 Deg C with a 10-30 KPH NE wind. -27 wind chill at 30 KPH.


      Making clouds with some sublimation. Tuesday am.

      River of Golden dreams is freezing up above the dam by Meadow Park.


      Track Packing on Chocker. Tuesday Afternoon.


      Wind slab in the valley! Wind transport off Green Lake Tuesday.

       Surprisingly good riding on trails.

      Sunrise Wednesday 07:15 Hrs. -10 Deg C with a 15-20 KPH North wind.

      High pressure over much of BC Wednesday am. GOES 17 ABI image.

      Rumbling Glacier Wednesday.

      Mount Fee, Different perspective.


      Windy Image Wednesday night. Weak front will bring some cloud to our zone Today. 



SEA TO SKY MIN REPORTS:

Can't  spell surface hoar without surf: Nov 9, 2022

Shovelnose Rip: Nov 9, 2022

Hollyburn: Nov 8, 2022

Brohm: Nov 8, 2022

Lap to Brockton Point: Nov 8, 2022


VIDEOS:

Steep lines:Big Slides

Martian: Avalanche

Electronic Interference: AvyBites

Avalanche control: Where?

Avalanche on Mt Dolent: Himalayas



ARTICLES:

Two more avalanche deaths in the French Alps: Pisthors.com

Solo Skier triggers avalanche in Park City: Colorado

Sz 2 Sa Nov 8, Paradise: North West Avalanche Center

Avalanche Canada launches Flexible Forecasts: PowderCloud

November snow brings first avalanche report: Wyoming

Avalanche danger rises as snow falls: Montana

Prepping The Avalanche Beacon for the season: Wild Snow

Gasex Exploders have important mission for avalanche control: Colorado

Can hear the avalanche falling: Iceland

7 Nov 2022

November 7, 2022

      AVALANCHE ACTIVITY:

      Recent snowballing in West Bowl, taken 2022/11/05. Warmed up Friday.                   WWF Pic


      Sz 2 remotely triggered in Colorado. 2022/11/05.  Report here-CAIC.      Andrew Temple Image



      An avalanche has killed a guide in training-- France. Article below.                                     Net Pic


      Nov 4, 2022. Roof avalanches in Whistler.                                                                     WWF Pic

     Nov 3, 2022. Sz 1 Snowmobile remote. South San Juan, CO. Click-CAIC Report       CAIC Pic

     Oct 27, 2022.  Close Call Sz 1 Sa near Aspen, went for ride but uninjured. Article below. CAIC Pic


      WEATHER IN THE PAST FOUR DAYS:

     Thursday November 3, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. -6 Deg C with a 10-25 KPH ESE wind.


      Friday November 4, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. +1 Deg C with a 20-60 KPH South wind.


      Saturday November 5, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. -8 Deg C with a 30-50 KPH SW wind. Flurries!


      Sunday November 6, 2022. 12:00 Hrs. -8 Deg C with a 10-25 KPH ENE wind.



   
Weather Observations for November 7, 2022 taken at 06:00 Hours.

2180 meters   -17, Winds were 30-45 KPH N--Whistler Peak 
1835 meters   -15, Winds were 10-30 KPH NNW--Round House
1650 meters   -14, 3.3 mm in 12 Hrs, 15.5 mm in 24 Hrs. Base 64 cm? ESDS --Pig Alley
  660 meters     -6, Valley Temp, Max temp Yesterday was -3.0, 4.2 mm of precip yesterday. 


      As of 07:30 Hrs we have some broken cloud and variable visibility.



Precipitation amounts for the AR (atmospheric river) event Nov 4-5, 2022 in the Sea to Sky Corridor:
Pemberton 15.7 mm, Whistler 24.4 mm, Squamish 44.9 mm, West Vancouver 69.1 mm. AR event or a fall rain storm? Great video from the Powder Picker below!

On November 4, 2022 at 2280 m, High of -1 Deg C, Low of -8 Deg C, Winds were 30 KPH-170 KPH. 100-160 KPH around 18:00 Hrs. 


Some Historical weather facts: Precipitation amounts for October at the Nesters Weather Station over the past decade.

Oct 2022       80.5 mm          Oct 2017     155.7 mm
Oct 2021     194.5 mm          Oct 2016     223.4 mm
Oct 2020     128.3 mm          Oct 2015       67.2 mm
Oct 2019       69.1 mm          Oct 2014     252.6 mm
Oct 2018     101.0 mm          Oct 2013       19.3 mm



FORECAST:

Surface low and approaching Arctic Front will bring some isolated snow flurries for today in a Northeasterly flow aloft. Mostly cloudy with some breaks. Freezing level will continue to drop to sea level with some strong outflow winds as we move into Tuesday. Cloud should dissipate by Tuesday am, with sunny cold weather. This pattern will remain in the zone until Friday. Should warm up a bit with some cloud pushing in for Friday with the approach of a weak front. More on the weekend in Thursday's post. Looking seasonable and dry into early next week.   Guesstimates: 0-1mm by Tuesday am, 0-trace by Wednesday am, no precipitation expected into next week.


      GOES IR Image from this am.


      GOES 17 ABI image 2022/11/07. 06:00 Hrs.


      Low still spinning off Vancouver Island. Cooling with Arctic High pushing Southwest.


       Mostly cloudy today with some sunny breaks, possible flurries.


       Variable upper flow with low spinning, mostly Easterly-Northeasterly flow aloft.


      Arctic Front continues too push low on Tuesday. Cloudy in the am, sunny in the pm! Cool.


      Arctic Front and cool dry weather for Tuesday.


      Arctic front still pushing South, cold temperatures for Wednesday.


     Dry and cool Wednesday with mostly sunny skies.


               Some push back from the lows but sunny and dry for Thursday.



      Dry for our zone Thursday, low making some impact to the North.


       Low develops off the coast, will likely send some cloud our way. High retreating too the North.




     INFORMATION & OBSERVATIONS: 

      Please hit the donate button top of the side-bar. Whistler Weather Wizard.                   WWF Pic

      Thursday afternoon.

      Moisture train on Thursday. 


      Snowing in the valley, 0 Deg C at 15:00 Hrs Thursday.                                                 WWF Pic

     Awesome day for a stroll.                                                                                                  WWF Pic

     15:00 Hrs Thursday. 4.5 mm recorded at Pig Alley. -4.5 Deg C.


      06:00 Hrs Friday. 1650 m, -4 Deg C with 12.7 mm recorded. ESDS 62 cm base. -1 at 1835 m

     10:00 Hrs Friday in the valley. 0 Deg C. Snowing lightly.                                              WWF Pic



      Warm front for Friday.


      Looking like most of the precipitation will end up South of Whistler.

       Nesters weather plot Friday am. 17.4 mm recorded. Min Temp -0.5, Max +4.7.         WWF Pic


      Friday 14:00 Hrs. Dodging a bullet so far! -1 Deg C at 2180 m. Moist just South of Whistler.

      From Windy, Friday 19:00 Hrs, looks like we have finished with the rain event. AR????


      Sunrise 08:08 Hrs Saturday. -8 Deg C with a 30-45 KPH WSW wind. 

      Saturday 12:00 Hrs. Snow flurries in the valley. +1 Deg C.

      Saturday pm, Weekend Chutes, Whistler. -10 at 2100 m.                                                  WWF Pic

      Creekside Gondola Carriers being delivered! Straw Line is on the CG towers.               WWF Pic


      Fresh Tracks on Saturday. Great day for a ride!! High of +3 Deg C at 660 m.                WWF Pic

     Swans on Alta Lake.                                                                                                            WWF Pic


      Whistler SAR responded to medical call on Metal Dome. Looks Busy!             Joel Sweet Pic



      Cornices growing on Chainsaw Ridge. Lots of wind transport after past 2 storms.          WWF Pic


     Sunday, 06:00 Hrs. 1.5 mm recorded at 1650 m. -8 Deg C.

      Goes 17 ABI Image Sunday 11:30 Hrs. -1 at 660 m, -10 at 2280 m. Let it snow!!!

     06:00 Hours Monday, 1650 m. -14 Deg C. 15.5 mm 24 Hrs. 8 cm in 12 hrs, 16 cm in 24 hrs.



LOCAL MIN REPORTS:

Round Mountain: Nov 6, 2022

Metal Dome: Nov 6, 2022

Paul Ridge: Nov 6, 2022

Mt Fee: Nov 5, 2022

Brandywine: Nov 5, 2022

Rethel North Couloir: Nov 2, 2022

Early: Nov 2, 2022

Sproatt: Nov 2, 2022


VIDEOS:

Sluff Management: AvyBites

Sluff Management: Alaska

Slab to slab: Nasty Ride but survived

Reactive snow while: Snowboarding

Have to agree with the Powder Picker: Atmospheric Rivers

Wind affected slopes=wind slabs: AVYBites 


ARTICLES:

First snows, first avalanche death: France

'Close Call' hints at avalanche danger: Colorado

CAIC launches new, user-friendly website: Colorado

Several early season avalanches in Utah: UAC

Avalanche Danger forces closure of Hwy 20: Washington State

How to learn from Avalanche Accident Reports: Powder Cloud

Supply chain woes delay Whistler's Creekside Gondola: Storm Skiing Journal

Researchers are turning to AI to model how snow cover is shrinking: Italy